$33.3K
JUN 24, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Liban Mohamed emerged as the Utah Democratic front-runner at the party convention in the redrawn 1st District. He still has to get through a crowded June 23 primary, where Nate Blouin has faced backlash over resurfaced posts. Prediction markets still favor Democrats in the district overall. Mohamed’s convention edge may strengthen his nomination position, but the primary is still contested. The backlash around Blouin adds some uncertainty, while the broader district outlook remains Democratic-leaning.
The retired Utah senator showed sympathy for his former colleague, who lost his first primary election since supporting an effort to remove Trump from office.
District 1 may very well still have a Republican take the seat if it comes down to who is most capable of securing the independent vote.
From ‘America’s Sheriff’ to this former NFL kicker — these GOP candidates face an uphill battle
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Thanks to Trump-initiated gerrymandering and two huge court decisions, Democrats need to overperform to flip the House in 2026.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
The unexpected result has shined a national light on a rare Democratic pickup opportunity and energized the party’s left flank.
Surfaced social media posts from over a decade ago show the progressive Democrat denigrating members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints as well as other crude comments.
A surge in global spending on nuclear weapons has benefited some firms while increasing the risk of nuclear use.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
B. McAdamsBen McAdamsN. BlouinNate BlouinK. RiebeKathleen Riebe
C. GleichCaroline GleichSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
