Luz Escamilla
4%24H4%Luz Escamilla’s odds in "UT-01 Democratic nominee?" are now 4%, above the previous high of 0%.
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JUN 24, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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source: Kalshi
Luz Escamilla’s odds in "UT-01 Democratic nominee?" are now 4%, above the previous high of 0%.
Liban Mohamed scored a narrow upset over Ben McAdams for the Utah Democratic Party endorsement in the newly redrawn 1st District, but the nomination will still be decided in the June 23 primary. Nate Blouin is facing backlash over resurfaced offensive posts even as he has already qualified for the primary ballot. Caucus-convention dynamics remain important for ballot access and momentum. Mohamed’s convention endorsement may boost his standing, but the contested June primary keeps the nomination uncertain. Blouin’s controversy could weaken his position and shift support toward other candidates.
District 1 may very well still have a Republican take the seat if it comes down to who is most capable of securing the independent vote.
The unexpected result has shined a national light on a rare Democratic pickup opportunity and energized the party’s left flank.
Surfaced social media posts from over a decade ago show the progressive Democrat denigrating members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints as well as other crude comments.
New Deseret News/Hinckley Institute poll finds that only 10% of Utah voters participate in party caucus night. Delegates choose who moves onto the primary on Saturday.
Utah leaders launch investigation into Utah Supreme Court Justice. Candidates face allegations of fraud and bigotry. UVU drops commencement speaker.
More GOP voters have turned out for Virginia's special election on redistricting than they did for the 2025 gubernatorial race, according to the election forecaster State Navigate.
Nate Blouin, a Democrat running for Utah's new 1st Congressional District seat, reportedly mocked the LDS faith in posts to online forums.
Safe seats, fierce primaries: Utah’s new map could push GOP contests further right
Republicans already hold 20 of 28 districts in the state.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is asking lawmakers to pass a redistricting plan that would give Republicans a better chance to pick up four House seats.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Welcome PAC
Welcome PAC promoted Ben McAdams as a preferred moderate Democratic candidate for a potential new Utah House district ahead of the 2026 cycle.
B. McAdamsBen McAdamsN. BlouinNate BlouinK. RiebeKathleen Riebe
C. GleichCaroline GleichSource: FEC
