$7.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
Utah's redrawn 1st District is being treated as more competitive for Democrats, and markets currently favor a Democratic win. Liban Mohamed won the party convention endorsement, but the June 23 Democratic primary is still contested. Republican Riley Owen is already the GOP nominee, while several Democratic candidates have faced controversy. The redistricting news and current market view point toward Democrats, but the primary remains unsettled. Candidate controversies add some uncertainty rather than clearly shifting the race.
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
District 1 may very well still have a Republican take the seat if it comes down to who is most capable of securing the independent vote.
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Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
The unexpected result has shined a national light on a rare Democratic pickup opportunity and energized the party’s left flank.
Salt Lake City Councilwoman Eva Lopez Chavez is running to represent Utah in the US Congress.
Surfaced social media posts from over a decade ago show the progressive Democrat denigrating members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints as well as other crude comments.
Utah leaders launch investigation into Utah Supreme Court Justice. Candidates face allegations of fraud and bigotry. UVU drops commencement speaker.
June 9 is Primary Day in Nevada. Voters will narrow down candidates moving ahead to November’s general election races for US House, governor, more.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
