Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Utah House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsFunds raised
99%$2.26M
3%$132.5K

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$14.8K

24h volume

$295

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Utah 1st District · US House

Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict context

Race Rating

Safe or unrated

Cook/270toWin 2026

Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated

Seat Dynamics

Incumbent defense

Incumbent: Blake D. Moore (R)

Election Rules

Primary Jun 23, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Utah 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Utah’s 1st District general-election matchup is set: Ben McAdams won the Democratic primary and will face Republican Riley Owen. The district was created after a court struck down Utah’s old map, and the race has already drawn about $4.6 million in spending. The matchup is now set, which lowers nomination uncertainty. The spending level suggests a competitive race, but the summaries do not show a clear shift toward either party.

Articles
FCFort Collins Coloradoan24 hours ago

A final look at polls, prediction markets in Colorado

With just hours left for casting votes, here is a look at polling and prediction markets in Colorado.

CNCBS News13 hours ago

Why some 2026 races won't be decided on election night, and why that doesn't mean foul play

Experts expect some politicians on Tuesday night to claim the 2026 elections are rigged, but here's why that's not the case — and why it may be a while before some races are called.

FNFox News2 months ago

Trump's congressional redistricting push nets Republicans 10 seats

Donald Trump's redistricting push has netted Republicans at least 10 more right-leaning congressional seats as the GOP fights to hold its House majority ahead of midterm elections.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Where the redistricting fight stands heading into the midterms

After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News6 months ago

Navigating the politics in Utah's congressional District 1

District 1 may very well still have a Republican take the seat if it comes down to who is most capable of securing the independent vote.

SLSalt Lake Tribune15 days ago

Utah's demographics are changing. Can Democrats win statewide?

Utah seems poised to send its first Democrat to Congress in six years. Democrats and others say the state is nearing a potential turning point — and that outcry over data centers could be a sign of how to build progressive power in this longtime GOP stronghold.

FNFox News15 hours ago

Election Day 2026 polls open with House and Senate control at stake

Election Day 2026 midterm elections determine control of the House and Senate as Republicans defend slim majorities. Donald Trump predicts a GOP hold despite polls favoring Democrats.

ESEUROPE SAYS2 months ago

Trump doubles down on Canada trade war as talks remain stalled – US politics live

The resumption of US-Canada trade talks does not seem to be on the horizon. During a press conference with US travel executives, Trump was asked if

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press2 months ago

Darline Graham wins SC GOP nomination to replace late brother in Senate

Sen. Darline Graham won the Republican nomination to replace her late brother Lindsey Graham on South Carolina’s general election ballot.

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
B. McAdams
R. Owen
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Ben McAdamsB. McAdams
$2.26MContrib: $2.17M
$299.3KSpent: $1.98M
$109.9KLast period: $256.0K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Riley OwenR. Owen
$132.5KContrib: $102.5K
$9.6KSpent: $123.0K
$6.8KLast period: $27.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

UT-01 House winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Ben McAdams

    Will Democratic win the House race for UT-01?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC

  • Riley Owen

    Will Republican win the House race for UT-01?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC