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$5.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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Total volume
$5.5K
24h volume
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source: Kalshi
Utah Democrats’ convention produced a surprise result in the newly redrawn 1st District, with Liban Mohamed narrowly winning the party endorsement over Ben McAdams. The nomination is not settled, with a June 23 Democratic primary ahead. The race is also seeing candidate controversies, including misconduct allegations against Eva Lopez Chavez, as the new map has made the seat more competitive and markets currently favor Democrats. The convention upset and multiple Democratic controversies add uncertainty around who emerges from the Democratic primary. Still, the reporting says analysts and prediction markets currently lean Democratic in the general election.
District 1 may very well still have a Republican take the seat if it comes down to who is most capable of securing the independent vote.
The unexpected result has shined a national light on a rare Democratic pickup opportunity and energized the party’s left flank.
Salt Lake City Councilwoman Eva Lopez Chavez is running to represent Utah in the US Congress.
Surfaced social media posts from over a decade ago show the progressive Democrat denigrating members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints as well as other crude comments.
Utah leaders launch investigation into Utah Supreme Court Justice. Candidates face allegations of fraud and bigotry. UVU drops commencement speaker.
Nate Blouin, a Democrat running for Utah's new 1st Congressional District seat, reportedly mocked the LDS faith in posts to online forums.
Seven states have adopted new maps since last summer, as the simmering redistricting war between Democrats and Republicans continues.
Safe seats, fierce primaries: Utah’s new map could push GOP contests further right
Trump has made an unprecedented number of visits to Arizona as president, former president and presidential candidate. What will he say this time?
After two lawmakers were pressured to resign over sexual misconduct allegations, it's generated conversations on Capitol Hill about how to keep congressional staff safe.
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