Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

ActivePrimary ElectionRepublican

Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin District 7 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 62 daysLast updated: Jun 11, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC

WI-07 Republican nominee?

$1.8K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Claim Offer$50TradeBonus

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$1.8K

24h volume

M. Alfonso79%

K. Hermening16%

J. Ebben5%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Insights

WI-07 Republican nominee?

Michael Alfonso is now at 62% and leads by 48.0 points in the WI-07 Republican nominee race.

62%

WI-07 Republican nominee?

Michael Alfonso is now leading with 62% and has a 48.0-point margin over the prior leader.

62%

News

AINews Summary

Tom Tiffany’s comments on Jan. 6 restitution drew criticism and could become a campaign issue. Trump also visited Wisconsin to promote rural economic plans, while new polling showed weak approval numbers in the state and signs of softer support for Trump-endorsed candidates. The Tiffany comments could create some downside risk if they alienate primary voters, while Trump’s Wisconsin activity may give Republican candidates a boost. The polling suggests a more mixed environment and could add uncertainty around Trump-aligned candidates.

Articles

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette15 days ago

Tom Tiffany says Jan. 6 defendants 'possibly' owed restitution

Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany said Jan. 6 defendants could be owed funds from Trump's new "weaponization" fund.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette8 days ago

Minocqua Brewing's Kirk Bangstad fails to qualify for governor's race

Liberal activist Kirk Bangstad failed to submit the required number of valid signatures to get his campaign for governor on the ballot.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette7 days ago

Mandela Barnes rolls out ag agenda ahead of Trump's Wisconsin visit

Wisconsin Democratic candidate for governor Mandela Barnes is rolling out the agricultural policy agenda he says he'd enact if elected.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette8 days ago

Ahead of Wisconsin trip, Trump approval drops in US Marquette poll

The latest national Marquette University Law School poll found President Donald Trump's net approval at negative 24, down three points from April.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette9 days ago

Donald Trump to tout rural initiatives in visit to Wisconsin

President Donald Trump will visit Wisconsin's Chippewa County on Friday − his first trip to the Badger State since being reelected in 2024.

NNJ.com11 days ago

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Trump’s foreign policy push, eye-popping Pentagon spending, and a shaky midterm map all collide with New Jersey’s own flashpoints — from Mikie Sherrill’s budget crunch to an immigration fight unfolding in Newark — as Mike and Julie break down who’s winning, who’s scrambling, and what actually matters.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

K. Hermening

M. Alfonso

J. Ebben

N. Threlfall-Baum

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

K. HermeningKevin Hermening

$1.09MContrib: $57.1K

$868.3KSpent: $223.7K

$14.9KLast period: $22.7K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

M. AlfonsoMichael Alfonso

$914.4KContrib: $914.4K

$731.8KSpent: $182.5K

$12.2KLast period: $596.2K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

J. EbbenJessi Ebben

$447.1KContrib: $397.1K

$300.7KSpent: $148.0K

$9.9KLast period: $80.5K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

N. Threlfall-BaumNiina Threlfall-Baum

$6.1KContrib: $6.1K

$229Spent: $5.8K

$390Last period: $6.1K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin District 7 US House Republican Primary?

WI-07 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

WI-07 Republican nominee?

WI-07 Republican nominee?

News

Tom Tiffany says Jan. 6 defendants 'possibly' owed restitution

Minocqua Brewing's Kirk Bangstad fails to qualify for governor's race

Mandela Barnes rolls out ag agenda ahead of Trump's Wisconsin visit

Ahead of Wisconsin trip, Trump approval drops in US Marquette poll

Donald Trump to tout rural initiatives in visit to Wisconsin

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Fundraising

Related races

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

WI-07 Republican nominee?

WI-07 Republican nominee?

News

Tom Tiffany says Jan. 6 defendants 'possibly' owed restitution

Minocqua Brewing's Kirk Bangstad fails to qualify for governor's race

Mandela Barnes rolls out ag agenda ahead of Trump's Wisconsin visit

Ahead of Wisconsin trip, Trump approval drops in US Marquette poll

Donald Trump to tout rural initiatives in visit to Wisconsin

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Fundraising

Related races

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?