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Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 57 daysLast updated: Jun 16, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

$311.6K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$311.6K

24h volume

$8.8K

F. Hong40%

M. Barnes30%

S. Rodriguez30%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

16h

Rodriguez’s nomination price rose from 31% to 31% while fresh convention coverage keeps the Wisconsin primary field in focus, making her contract a more active front-runner trade.

31%0%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Francesca Hong is now the front-runner for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination at 49%, with a 19.0-point lead.

49%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, while Francesca Hong holds the lead in the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race.

30%

News

AINews Summary

Wisconsin Democrats are heading toward a crowded August 11 primary, with seven candidates set to debate on July 28. Recent polling shows a very open race, with most voters undecided and Francesca Hong narrowly ahead of Mandela Barnes. Party leaders are also emphasizing unity and a broader push for legislative control. The race still looks unsettled, with a large undecided share keeping the nominee contest volatile. Hong’s polling lead gives her a modest edge, but the field remains open.

Articles

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Brooklyn Beckham Makes Bonkers World Cup Ad About Family Feud

The rift became public in January, when Brooklyn alleged on Instagram that his parents “consistently disrespected” him.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette3 days ago

Evers shrugs off rifts, rallies Dems ahead of high-stakes elections

Any signs of recent intra-party squabbles were put aside Saturday night for Tony Evers' final speech to the party faithful as governor.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette7 days ago

7 Democrats running for governor to square off in televised debate

The seven Democratic primary candidates running for Wisconsin governor will face off in a debate on Tuesday, July 28, hosted by WISN (Channel 12).

LALos Angeles Times9 days ago

Trump storms off Meet the Press over rigged California election claims

'Meet the Press' host pushed back on Trump's claim that the still undecided California election was rigged.

YDYork Daily Record9 days ago

The Republicans who rejected 2020 election result running for governor

Many Republicans who supported President Donald Trump's effort to overturn his 2020 loss are now running for governor of their state.

NNNBC News1 month ago

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.

WWEAU13 days ago

Gubernatorial Candidate Mandela Barnes visited Chippewa County ahead of President Trump

With President Donald Trump planning to highlight his initiatives to help farmers, a Wisconsin democrat did the same.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette13 days ago

Here's who's running in Door County for spot on November ballot

Candidates needed to file nomination papers by June 1 to be placed on ballots in the Aug. 11 primary election. Here's who's running in Door County.

UTUSA TODAY13 days ago

Wisconsin Dem governor candidate Francesca Hong sued over $30K debt

Democratic candidate for governor Francesca Hong is being sued for nearly $30,000 in debt she owes to Capital One, recently filed court records show.

Polls

Polling Average

25%20%15%10%5%0%

18.9%

11.0%

9.0%

7.5%

6.0%

M. Barnes

F. Hong

S. Rodriguez

J. Kaul

D. Crowley

K. Roys

J. Brennan

M. Hughes

B. Wikler

B. Hulsey

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Barnes	Hong	Rodriguez	Kaul	Crowley	Roys	Brennan	Hughes	Wikler	Hulsey
Polling Average	Barnes+8.0	18.9%	11.0%	9.0%	7.5%	6.0%	2.3%	1.5%	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+13.0	23.4%	7.3%	10.4%	–	8.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.2%	–	0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+11.8	24.1%	8.5%	12.3%	–	8.0%	3.9%	1.6%	0.2%	–	0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18	Hong+3.0	11.0%	14.0%	3.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	1.0%	–	0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16	Hong+9.0	18.0%	27.0%	6.0%	–	6.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19	Hong+1.0	10.0%	11.0%	6.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	2.0%	–	1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12	Barnes+8.0	28.0%	5.0%	20.0%	–	7.0%	2.0%	0.0%	1.0%	–	1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21	Barnes+13.0	21.0%	–	6.0%	8.0%	6.0%	1.0%	–	2.0%	–	–
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30	Barnes+8.0	16.0%	4.0%	8.0%	7.0%	7.0%	4.0%	–	2.0%	1.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

David Crowley

Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson

Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson endorsed David Crowley for Wisconsin governor.

Learn more

Ben Wikler

Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries endorsed Ben Wikler for Democratic National Committee chair.

Learn more

Nancy Pelosi

Nancy Pelosi endorsed Ben Wikler for Democratic National Committee chair.

Learn more

Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer endorsed Ben Wikler for Democratic National Committee chair.

Learn more

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Fundraising

Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Having Trouble Falling Asleep? These CBN Gummies Help You Wind Down Without the Grogginess

Brooklyn Beckham Makes Bonkers World Cup Ad About Family Feud

Evers shrugs off rifts, rallies Dems ahead of high-stakes elections

7 Democrats running for governor to square off in televised debate

Trump storms off Meet the Press over rigged California election claims

The Republicans who rejected 2020 election result running for governor

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Gubernatorial Candidate Mandela Barnes visited Chippewa County ahead of President Trump

Here's who's running in Door County for spot on November ballot

Wisconsin Dem governor candidate Francesca Hong sued over $30K debt

Polls

Endorsements

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Having Trouble Falling Asleep? These CBN Gummies Help You Wind Down Without the Grogginess

Brooklyn Beckham Makes Bonkers World Cup Ad About Family Feud

Evers shrugs off rifts, rallies Dems ahead of high-stakes elections

7 Democrats running for governor to square off in televised debate

Trump storms off Meet the Press over rigged California election claims

The Republicans who rejected 2020 election result running for governor

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Gubernatorial Candidate Mandela Barnes visited Chippewa County ahead of President Trump

Here's who's running in Door County for spot on November ballot

Wisconsin Dem governor candidate Francesca Hong sued over $30K debt

Polls

Endorsements

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?