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Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 25 daysLast updated: Jul 18, 2026, 3:53 PM UTC

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

$1.5M

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$1.5M

24h volume

$462.3K

F. Hong64%

D. Crowley27%

M. Barnes10%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

David Crowley’s return to the race comes right after Sara Rodriguez’s withdrawal, and the market has already repriced his nominee contract sharply higher as the Democratic field reshuffles.

21%18%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

21h

Rodriguez’s withdrawal after the campaign-finance fiasco confirms the market has moved from a candidate-specific scare to a live field reshuffle, with her contract collapsing to 0.3% and rivals now repricing around the vacancy.

0%18%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong holds the lead in the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race.

28%

News

AINews Summary

Sara Rodriguez has dropped out of the Wisconsin Democratic governor race after campaign finance problems. David Crowley may re-enter, leaving the primary unsettled ahead of the Aug. 11 vote. Recent fundraising reports still point to Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong as leading contenders. Rodriguez’s exit and Crowley’s possible return add uncertainty and could shift support among the remaining candidates. The race still looks unsettled, with Barnes and Hong appearing strongest on fundraising.

Articles

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette23 hours ago

How Wisconsin governor Democratic primary looks with Rodriguez out

Here's how the Wisconsin governor race, and the Democratic primary, stand after Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign.

NNewsBreak1 day ago

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor’s race over campaign finance problems

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez abandoned her Democratic primary campaign for governor on Friday, citing financial concerns she said would be a distracti

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit1 day ago

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor's race over campaign finance problems

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez has abandoned her Democratic primary campaign for governor, citing financial concerns.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette17 hours ago

Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley getting back into governor's race

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley will revive his campaign for governor after a massive upheaval in the Democratic primary this week.

TGThe Gateway Pundit22 hours ago

DEMOCRAT DISASTER IN WISCONSIN: Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez DROPS OUT of Governor Race After “Serious Mismanagement and Inaccuracies” in Campaign Finance Reports Force Her Exit * The Gateway Pundit * by J

In a humiliating collapse just weeks before the August 11 Democratic primary, Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez (D) has DROPPED OUT of the race for…

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette2 days ago

Republican Tiffany builds campaign cash as Democrats battle in primary

The leading candidates for Wisconsin governor report their fundraising and spending as the Democratic primary nears.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette1 day ago

Tony Evers considering move to draw Crowley back into governor's race

Gov. Tony Evers is "very seriously considering" backing an effort to get Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley back into the gubernatorial primary.

WWEAU1 day ago

Rodriguez quits governor’s race after campaign finance problems surface

Democratic candidate Sara Rodriguez dropped out of the race for Wisconsin governor Friday morning.

WWEAU2 days ago

Wisconsin governor’s race fundraising: Where candidates stand

All candidates in Wisconsin’s gubernatorial race have submitted their campaign finance reports.

Polls

Polling Average

25%20%15%10%5%0%

19.9%

13.3%

10.1%

7.5%

6.0%

M. Barnes

F. Hong

S. Rodriguez

J. Kaul

D. Crowley

K. Roys

J. Brennan

M. Hughes

B. Wikler

B. Hulsey

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Barnes	Hong	Rodriguez	Kaul	Crowley	Roys	Brennan	Hughes	Wikler	Hulsey
Polling Average	Barnes+6.6	19.9%	13.3%	10.1%	7.5%	6.0%	2.3%	1.5%	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4	Hong+2.0	28.0%	30.0%	19.0%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+13.0	23.4%	7.3%	10.4%	–	8.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.2%	–	0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+11.8	24.1%	8.5%	12.3%	–	8.0%	3.9%	1.6%	0.2%	–	0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18	Hong+3.0	11.0%	14.0%	3.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	1.0%	–	0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16	Hong+9.0	18.0%	27.0%	6.0%	–	6.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19	Hong+1.0	10.0%	11.0%	6.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	2.0%	–	1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12	Barnes+8.0	28.0%	5.0%	20.0%	–	7.0%	2.0%	0.0%	1.0%	–	1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21	Barnes+13.0	21.0%	–	6.0%	8.0%	6.0%	1.0%	–	2.0%	–	–
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30	Barnes+8.0	16.0%	4.0%	8.0%	7.0%	7.0%	4.0%	–	2.0%	1.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Francesca Hong

Citizen Action of Wisconsin

Citizen Action of Wisconsin endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

How Wisconsin governor Democratic primary looks with Rodriguez out

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor’s race over campaign finance problems

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor's race over campaign finance problems

Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley getting back into governor's race

DEMOCRAT DISASTER IN WISCONSIN: Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez DROPS OUT of Governor Race After “Serious Mismanagement and Inaccuracies” in Campaign Finance Reports Force Her Exit * The Gateway Pundit * by J

Republican Tiffany builds campaign cash as Democrats battle in primary

Tony Evers considering move to draw Crowley back into governor's race

Rodriguez quits governor’s race after campaign finance problems surface

Wisconsin governor’s race fundraising: Where candidates stand

Polls

Endorsements

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

WI-06 House winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

How Wisconsin governor Democratic primary looks with Rodriguez out

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor’s race over campaign finance problems

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor's race over campaign finance problems

Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley getting back into governor's race

DEMOCRAT DISASTER IN WISCONSIN: Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez DROPS OUT of Governor Race After “Serious Mismanagement and Inaccuracies” in Campaign Finance Reports Force Her Exit * The Gateway Pundit * by J

Republican Tiffany builds campaign cash as Democrats battle in primary

Tony Evers considering move to draw Crowley back into governor's race

Rodriguez quits governor’s race after campaign finance problems surface

Wisconsin governor’s race fundraising: Where candidates stand

Polls

Endorsements

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

WI-06 House winner?