Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
16hBarnes dropping out further consolidates the Democratic field behind Francesca Hong and David Crowley, reinforcing Hong’s already-dominant market position and narrowing the set of tradable challengers.
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source: Kalshi
August
TUE 11
Wisconsin 2026 primary
November
TUE 3
Wisconsin 2026 general election
Barnes dropping out further consolidates the Democratic field behind Francesca Hong and David Crowley, reinforcing Hong’s already-dominant market position and narrowing the set of tradable challengers.
Early in-person voting began in Wisconsin’s Democratic governor primary as a judge prepares to hear a ballot-spoiling lawsuit, keeping the Hong-Crowley field volatile ahead of Aug. 11.
David Crowley is back in the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary and has picked up an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. The race was reshaped by Sara Rodriguez’s exit over campaign finance problems, leaving the field more open ahead of the Aug. 11 primary. Evers’ endorsement and Crowley’s return could improve his standing, but the late exits keep the race unsettled. The field still looks fluid, so uncertainty remains high.
Former Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes officially dropped out of the race for governor.

With a democratic socialist, Francesca Hong, leading in polls, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes said he was ending his campaign in the closely divided state.

From Mamdani's NYPD commissioner pick to Hong's Wisconsin debate reversal, candidates are backpedaling on past police-defunding rhetoric.

ADISON, Wis. — Mandela Barnes dropped out of Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor on Thursday. The former lieutenant governor made the announcement in a video posted on his Facebook page as democratic socialist Francesca Hong has garnered strong support from the liberal wing of the party. Barnes is the third

Francesca Hong has widened her lead in the Democratic primary for governor, according to the latest Marquette Law School Poll.

Three candidates listed on Wisconsin's Aug. 11 ballot have dropped out. Here are the candidates still in and why absentee voters can't get a redo.
Democrat Mandela Barnes dropped out of the Wisconsin Governor's race hours before damaging media reports about him are published.

By Eric Bradner, CNN (CNN) — Former Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes dropped his bid for governor on Thursday, scrambling the race to replace Gov. Tony Evers less than two weeks from the Democratic primary. In a video posted to social media, Barnes said that it’s “very clear who our nominee is going to be.”









| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Hong | Barnes | Rodriguez | Crowley | Roys | Brennan | Hughes | Hulsey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Hong+3.5 | 23.7% | 20.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
State NavigateJul 23 - 26 | Hong+29.0 | 44.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 15.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | – |
Public Policy PollingJul 20 - 22 | Hong+20.0 | 35.0% | 15.0% | – | 14.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | – | – |
Impact ResearchJul 18 - 20 | Hong+13.0 | 39.0% | 26.0% | – | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | – | – |
Wedgewood PollsJul 18 - 20 | Hong+8.0 | 38.0% | 30.0% | – | 9.0% | – | – | – | – |
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8 - 16 | Hong+11.0 | 26.0% | 15.0% | 11.0% | – | 1.0% | 2.0% | – | – |
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4 | Hong+2.0 | 30.0% | 28.0% | 19.0% | – | – | – | – | – |
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15 | Barnes+13.0 | 7.3% | 23.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15 | Barnes+11.8 | 8.5% | 24.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18 | Hong+3.0 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16 | Hong+9.0 | 27.0% | 18.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | – | – | – | – |
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19 | Hong+1.0 | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12 | Barnes+8.0 | 5.0% | 28.0% | 20.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
More than 25 local elected officials and community leaders
More than 25 local elected officials and community leaders endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.
Voces de la Frontera Action
Voces de la Frontera Action endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin in the Democratic primary.
Citizen Action of Wisconsin
Citizen Action of Wisconsin endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.
Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance
Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.
Milwaukee Democratic Socialists of America
Milwaukee Democratic Socialists of America endorsed Francesca Hong in the Wisconsin governor race.
Wisconsin Electoral Socialists
Wisconsin Electoral Socialists endorsed Francesca Hong for Wisconsin governor.
Operating Engineers Local 139
Operating Engineers Local 139 endorsed David Crowley for governor.
IBEW Wisconsin State Conference
IBEW Wisconsin State Conference endorsed David Crowley for governor.
Wauwatosa Mayor Dennis McBride
Wauwatosa Mayor Dennis McBride endorsed David Crowley for governor.
Sheboygan Mayor Ryan Sorenson
Sheboygan Mayor Ryan Sorenson endorsed David Crowley for governor.
Gov. Tony Evers
Gov. Tony Evers endorsed David Crowley for Wisconsin governor after Crowley reentered the race.
Waukesha Mayor Alicia Halvensleben
Shorewood Village President Ann McKaig endorsed David Crowley.
South Milwaukee Mayor Jim Shelenske
South Milwaukee Mayor Jim Shelenske endorsed David Crowley.
Shorewood Village President Ann McKaig
Shorewood Village President Ann McKaig endorsed David Crowley.
Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson
Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson endorsed David Crowley for governor.
Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association, IAFF Local 215
Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association, IAFF Local 215 endorsed David Crowley for governor.
Fair Wisconsin PAC
Fair Wisconsin PAC endorsed Josh Kaul for reelection as Wisconsin attorney general.
End Citizens United
End Citizens United endorsed Josh Kaul for reelection as Wisconsin attorney general.
Kelda Roys congressional endorsers
A group of congressional endorsers announced support for Kelda Roys for governor.
Wisconsin Education Association Council (WEAC)
The Wisconsin Education Association Council endorsed Kelda Roys for governor.
Wisconsin Education Association Council (WEAC) Political Action Committee
WEAC's Political Action Committee recommended Kelda Roys for governor.
Former Wisconsin legislators
Twenty former Wisconsin legislators endorsed Joel Brennan's campaign for governor.
David Crowley
David Crowley endorsed Sara Rodriguez for Wisconsin governor after ending his own campaign.
Missy Hughes
Missy Hughes endorsed Sara Rodriguez for governor in Wisconsin's Democratic primary.
Wisconsin statewide union
A statewide union endorsed Sara Rodriguez in Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Wisconsin Democratic leaders across all 72 counties
Local Democratic leaders across all 72 Wisconsin counties endorsed Sara Rodriguez for governor.
Community leaders across Wisconsin
Community leaders across Wisconsin endorsed Sara Rodriguez for governor.
Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
The Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association endorsed Sara Rodriguez for governor.
NRDC Action Fund
NRDC Action Fund endorsed Mandela Barnes in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

