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High Impact6h

82%

Barry Moore’s runoff victory locks in the Republican nominee for Alabama’s open Senate seat, resolving the market and confirming the Trump-backed favorite now that the contest is settled.

ActivePrimary ElectionRepublican

Who will win the 2026 Alabama Senate Republican Primary?

Jun 17, 2026, 3:59am UTC, todayLast updated: Jun 17, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

$1.8M

JUN 17, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$1.8M

24h volume

$95.7K

B. Moore100%

S. Marshall2%

M. Brooks1%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

Alabama 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

6hHigh Impact

Barry Moore’s runoff victory locks in the Republican nominee for Alabama’s open Senate seat, resolving the market and confirming the Trump-backed favorite now that the contest is settled.

82%

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

Donald Trump backed Barry Moore, who is at 79% in "Alabama Republican Senate nominee?"

79%

News

AINews Summary

Barry Moore and Jared Hudson are headed to the Alabama GOP Senate runoff, with the winner set to become the party’s nominee. Moore led the first round and has Trump’s endorsement. Officials are expected to start posting unofficial results after polls close Tuesday. The runoff keeps the race unresolved for now, but Moore’s first-round lead and Trump endorsement likely give him an edge. The market should stay focused on turnout and the final count.

Articles

NNewsmax8 hours ago

Rep. Moore, Backed by Trump, Wins Ala. GOP Senate Runoff

Rep. Barry Moore won Alabama's Republican Senate runoff Tuesday, defeating former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson to secure the GOP nomination for the seat being vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville, aided by an endorsement from President Donald Trump.

WWJLA8 hours ago

Barry Moore Defeats Jared Hudson in Republican Congressional Runoff

MONTGOMERY, Ala. (AP) — U.S. Rep. Barry Moore won the Republican runoff Tuesday for Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, advancing to the fall election with the hel

WEWashington Examiner8 hours ago

Barry Moore wins Alabama Senate GOP runoff

Barry Moore won the GOP primary runoff, effectively guaranteeing him to be the next senator in the deep-red state.

TNThe New York Times8 hours ago

Rep. Barry Moore Wins G.O.P. Senate Primary in Alabama, Holding Off Challenger

The contest to fill Alabama’s open Senate seat had become closer than expected between the House lawmaker and Jared Hudson, a political newcomer.

TNThe New York Times10 hours ago

What Polls Say About Alabama’s Senate Primary Runoff

Representative Barry Moore beat Jared Hudson by 14 percentage points in the Republican primary, but runoff polls offer a wide range of potential outcomes.

TNThe New York Times11 hours ago

5 Things to Know About Barry Moore, Republican Senate Candidate in Alabama

He was an early supporter of President Trump’s first campaign. Now, he has Mr. Trump’s backing.

TNThe New York Times11 hours ago

5 Things to Know About Jared Hudson, Republican Senate Candidate in Alabama

He is a former sniper with the Navy SEALs who is trying to spring an upset over President Trump’s preferred candidate.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit21 hours ago

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.

AOArkansas Online2 days ago

Alabama GOP toss residency challenge

HOOVER, Ala. -- The Alabama Republican Party said U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville will remain the party's gubernatorial nominee, rejecting a claim on Sunday that he had not lived in the state long enough to run for governor.

Polls

Polling Average

30%25%20%15%10%5%0%

24.3%

21.9%

16.7%

B. Moore

S. Marshall

J. Hudson

M. Murphy

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Moore	Marshall	Hudson	Murphy
Polling Average	Moore+2.4	24.3%	21.9%	16.7%	0.8%
Quantus InsightsMay 15 - 17	Hudson+8.9	26.9%	13.5%	35.8%	0.3%
Remington Research GroupMay 5 - 7	Moore+3.0	23.0%	16.0%	20.0%	1.0%
CygnalApr 29 - 30	Moore+11.0	36.0%	25.0%	25.0%	–
Tarrance GroupApr 11 - 14	Moore+1.0	28.0%	27.0%	24.0%	–
Peak InsightsApr 11 - 13	Moore+18.0	34.0%	16.0%	12.0%	–
American Pulse Research & PollingMar 30 - Apr 1	Moore+5.0	26.2%	21.2%	14.1%	–
The Alabama PollMar 22 - 24	Moore+2.1	22.8%	20.7%	19.0%	–
Pulse Decision SicenceMar 16 - 19	Moore+5.0	31.0%	26.0%	13.0%	–
Remington Research GroupMar 2 - 4	Moore+6.0	22.0%	16.0%	12.0%	1.0%
The Alabama PollFeb 1 - 3	Marshall+9.0	17.0%	26.0%	8.0%	1.0%
Remington Research GroupJan 16 - 19	Marshall+13.0	13.0%	26.0%	10.0%	1.0%
The Alabama PollDec 15 - 18	Marshall+17.4	12.3%	29.7%	8.0%	0.8%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

May 27, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

J. Hudson

S. Marshall

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. HudsonJared Hudson

$1.77MContrib: $1.77M

$585.5KSpent: $1.19M

$69.9KLast period: $230.1K

PRE-RUN-OFF · May 27, 2026

S. MarshallSteve Marshall

$1.40MContrib: $1.32M

$475.3KSpent: $920.0K

$57.5KLast period: $32.2K

PRE-PRIMARY · Apr 29, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Alabama Senate Republican Primary?

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

News

Rep. Moore, Backed by Trump, Wins Ala. GOP Senate Runoff

Barry Moore Defeats Jared Hudson in Republican Congressional Runoff

Barry Moore wins Alabama Senate GOP runoff

Rep. Barry Moore Wins G.O.P. Senate Primary in Alabama, Holding Off Challenger

What Polls Say About Alabama’s Senate Primary Runoff

5 Things to Know About Barry Moore, Republican Senate Candidate in Alabama

5 Things to Know About Jared Hudson, Republican Senate Candidate in Alabama

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

Alabama GOP toss residency challenge

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Alabama Democratic Senate nominee?

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Alabama Governor winner?

AL-05 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

News

Rep. Moore, Backed by Trump, Wins Ala. GOP Senate Runoff

Barry Moore Defeats Jared Hudson in Republican Congressional Runoff

Barry Moore wins Alabama Senate GOP runoff

Rep. Barry Moore Wins G.O.P. Senate Primary in Alabama, Holding Off Challenger

What Polls Say About Alabama’s Senate Primary Runoff

5 Things to Know About Barry Moore, Republican Senate Candidate in Alabama

5 Things to Know About Jared Hudson, Republican Senate Candidate in Alabama

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

Alabama GOP toss residency challenge

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Alabama Democratic Senate nominee?

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Alabama Governor winner?

AL-05 Democratic nominee?