State Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 94% | $726.2K | |
| 8% | — |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$562.9K
24h volume
$185.9K
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Alabama · Governor
State Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary with runoff
Runoff possible: Jun 16, 2026
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: Jun 16, 2026
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Alabama 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Tommy Tuberville has secured the Republican nomination for Alabama governor after defeating his primary challengers. A residency challenge to his candidacy was dismissed, and he had Trump’s backing. The general election is now set for the term-limited Kay Ivey seat. Tuberville’s nomination makes the Republican side the clear focus in this heavily GOP race. The reported challenge dismissal removes a source of uncertainty, which likely modestly strengthens GOP odds.
Republican Tommy Tuberville and Democrat Doug Jones outlined competing priorities for Alabama on education, health care, data centers, gambling and state government during interviews with Alabama Public Television’s Capitol Journal just days before Tuesday’s election.
Democrats believe they have a chance to hold onto the congressional seat held by U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures.
Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.
Election mailer featured GOP's typical "socialist" claims, but had a disclaimer that seemed to say: Hey, we made this up.
Democratic-aligned polling firm Chism Strategies released a new survey that found U.S. Tuberville leads Jones 48% to 45%.
Trump’s comments about Paxton came during the president’s second Texas visit in just weeks.
“It looks like hope is lost,” Everett Wess said. “People are uncertain about what is going to happen next.”
Rep. Barry Moore won Alabama's Republican Senate runoff Tuesday, defeating former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson to secure the GOP nomination for the seat being vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville, aided by an endorsement from President Donald Trump.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

US Rep. Barry Moore and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson have advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination for the open U.S. Senate seat in Alabama.

T. TubervilleTommy TubervilleSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC