Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Alabama Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsFunds raised
94%$726.2K
8%—

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$562.9K

24h volume

$185.9K

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Alabama · Governor

Strong RepublicanOpen seatNot a core swing stateRunoff possible

State Lean

Strong Republican

Not a core swing state

Primary System

Party primary with runoff

Runoff possible: Jun 16, 2026

Election Rules

Primary May 19, 2026

Runoff: Jun 16, 2026

General: Nov 3, 2026

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Alabama 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Tommy Tuberville has secured the Republican nomination for Alabama governor after defeating his primary challengers. A residency challenge to his candidacy was dismissed, and he had Trump’s backing. The general election is now set for the term-limited Kay Ivey seat. Tuberville’s nomination makes the Republican side the clear focus in this heavily GOP race. The reported challenge dismissal removes a source of uncertainty, which likely modestly strengthens GOP odds.

Articles
AAL.com3 days ago

Tuberville, Jones lay out priorities for Alabama days before election

Republican Tommy Tuberville and Democrat Doug Jones outlined competing priorities for Alabama on education, health care, data centers, gambling and state government during interviews with Alabama Public Television’s Capitol Journal just days before Tuesday’s election.

AAL.com5 days ago

Alabama Democrats say this election is their ‘best chance in 25 years’: Can they win?

Democrats believe they have a chance to hold onto the congressional seat held by U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures.

NNewsweek5 days ago

Trump Cancels Kansas Rally as New Poll Shows Republican Trailing Democrat

Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.

AAL.com5 days ago

Johnson: Doug Jones slams ‘pathetic’ attack from Business Council of Alabama PAC

Election mailer featured GOP's typical "socialist" claims, but had a disclaimer that seemed to say: Hey, we made this up.

AAL.com6 days ago

Alabama governor’s race: New poll finds ‘genuine toss up’ between Tuberville, Jones

Democratic-aligned polling firm Chism Strategies released a new survey that found U.S. Tuberville leads Jones 48% to 45%.

REReading Eagle1 month ago

‘Pain in the ass’: Trump again shows annoyance with Paxton after leaked audio

Trump’s comments about Paxton came during the president’s second Texas visit in just weeks.

AAL.com1 month ago

Democrat running to replace Tuberville looks to appeal to Alabama voters unhappy with Trump

“It looks like hope is lost,” Everett Wess said. “People are uncertain about what is going to happen next.”

NNewsmax5 months ago

Rep. Moore, Backed by Trump, Wins Ala. GOP Senate Runoff

Rep. Barry Moore won Alabama's Republican Senate runoff Tuesday, defeating former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson to secure the GOP nomination for the seat being vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville, aided by an endorsement from President Donald Trump.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

TAThe Associated Press6 months ago

Moore and Hudson advance to runoff in Alabama's GOP Senate race

US Rep. Barry Moore and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson have advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination for the open U.S. Senate seat in Alabama.

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$1M
$750K
$500K
$250K
$0
T. Tuberville
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Tommy TubervilleT. Tuberville
$726.2KContrib: $494.4K
$66.6KSpent: $1.19M
$66.2KLast period: -$58
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Alabama Governor winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Doug Jones

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC

  • Tommy Tuberville

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC