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Who will win the 2026 Alabama District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 40 daysLast updated: Jul 3, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC

AL-01 Republican nominee?

$45.8K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$45.8K

24h volume

$22

J. Carl72%

A. Sidwell15%

R. Marques13%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

Alabama 2026 general election

Latest Insights

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Donald Trump backed Jerry Carl in the AL-01 Republican nominee race, and Jerry Carl is currently at 95%.

95%

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques for "AL-01 Republican nominee?"; Marques is currently at 13%.

13%

News

AINews Summary

Alabama’s 1st District Republican primary has been delayed to August 11 because of redistricting changes. Officials said ballots in the affected districts may be voided while the map is restored. The delay leaves the nomination race unresolved for now and adds uncertainty to the field. The delay keeps the nomination race unsettled for now and may push market pricing to wait for clearer ballot access and candidate field updates. Uncertainty is higher until the postponed primary is held.

Articles

NNNBC News1 month ago

Several primaries remain uncalled and Ukraine attacks Putin’s hometown: Morning Rundown

Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press2 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit17 days ago

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.

AAL.com1 month ago

Shomari Figures: Voting Rights Act is dead after Supreme Court’s ‘dangerous’ Alabama ruling

“This is a dangerous ruling that sets the State and this nation back decades.”

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat1 month ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution1 month ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

NNewsmax2 months ago

Trump Endorses Barry Moore in Alabama Senate Race

Calling the congressman a totally reliable MAGA Warrior and praising him as one of his all time favorites, President Donald Trump on Thursday endorsed Rep. Barry Moore in Alabama's U.S. Senate race.

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review2 months ago

Alabama governor calls for special session on redistricting

WASHINGTON — Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey called for the state’s legislature to meet in special session next week to revisit their congressional map, the latest fallout from a Supreme Court ruling this week limiting the Voting Rights Act. Ivey, a Republican, on Friday said she was hopeful the state would “receive a favorable outcome” from the Supreme Court, which could weigh in on legal challenges to ...

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit2 months ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.

Polls

Polling Average

40%30%20%10%0%

28.0%

13.5%

5.6%

J. Carl

R. Marques

J. McKee

A. Sidwell

J. Dees

J. Richardson

J. Mills

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Carl	Marques	McKee	Sidwell	Dees	Richardson	Mills
Polling Average	Carl+14.5	28.0%	13.5%	5.6%	2.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22	Marques+2.0	20.0%	22.0%	6.0%	4.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%
PI PollingMar 31 - Apr 2	Carl+4.0	23.0%	19.0%	–	–	–	–	–
The Alabama PollMar 5 - 8	Carl+9.0	28.0%	19.0%	9.0%	–	–	–	–
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2	Carl+36.0	43.0%	7.0%	2.0%	1.0%	2.0%	0.0%	1.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23 - 23	Carl+16.0	25.2%	9.2%	8.8%	–	–	–	–
CygnalAug 21 - 22	Carl+24.0	29.0%	5.0%	2.0%	–	–	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Jerry Carl

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl in Alabama's 1st Congressional District special primary.

Who will win the 2026 Alabama District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

AL-01 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

AL-01 Republican nominee?

AL-01 Republican nominee?

News

Several primaries remain uncalled and Ukraine attacks Putin’s hometown: Morning Rundown

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

Shomari Figures: Voting Rights Act is dead after Supreme Court’s ‘dangerous’ Alabama ruling

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Trump Endorses Barry Moore in Alabama Senate Race

Alabama governor calls for special session on redistricting

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Alabama Governor winner?

AL-02 House winner?

AL-03 House winner?

AL-06 Republican nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

AL-01 Republican nominee?

AL-01 Republican nominee?

News

Several primaries remain uncalled and Ukraine attacks Putin’s hometown: Morning Rundown

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

Shomari Figures: Voting Rights Act is dead after Supreme Court’s ‘dangerous’ Alabama ruling

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Trump Endorses Barry Moore in Alabama Senate Race

Alabama governor calls for special session on redistricting

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Alabama Governor winner?

AL-02 House winner?

AL-03 House winner?

AL-06 Republican nominee?