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2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 11, 2026Market closes: Aug 11, 11:59pm ET (Aug 12, 3:59am UTC)

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

$518.3K

AUG 11, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 10, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Peggy Flanagan	73%	42.5%	—
Angie Craig	28%	36.3%	$12.75M
Melisa López Franzen	1%	—	$299.4K
Keith Ellison	1%	—	—
Betty McCollum	1%	—	$1.25M
Ilhan Omar	1%	—	$5.83M
Steve Simon	1%	—	—
David Wellstone	1%	—	—
Jacob Frey	1%	—	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 10, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$518.3K

24h volume

$34.9K

P. Flanagan73%

A. Craig28%

M. Franzen1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 11

Minnesota 2026 primary

Prediction market closes

November

TUE 3

Minnesota 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Minnesota Democrats held their first Senate debate as Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig compete for the open seat. The nominee will be chosen in the August primary. The debate did not produce a clear winner. The race still looks competitive, with no clear debate breakout. The primary remains the main source of uncertainty for the nominee market.

Articles

F9FOX 914 hours ago

Minnesota primary 2025: What's at stake in Tuesday's most competitive races

Minnesotans are gearing up for a busy primary election week, with several high-stakes races drawing attention across the state.

BNBaltimore News3 days ago

'My wig is in the mail': Royce White says he'll enter WNBA draft amid trans athlete debate

Former NBA player Royce White claimed he plans to declare for the 2027 WNBA draft.

F9FOX 95 days ago

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

FOX 9 has extended an invitation to all the candidates polling above 5% in both the Minnesota Governor and Senate primary races to appear on our All Day program for an interview. On Wednesday, GOP-endorsed Republican Adam Schwarze is running for one of Minnesota's seats in the U.S. Senate.

TNThe New York Times3 days ago

They’re Battle-Tested Democrats. Do Voters Care?

Haley Stevens and Angie Craig were celebrated by Democrats in 2018. This year, they’ve faced tough primaries.

WWTOP4 days ago

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

NEW GLARUS, Wis. (AP) — Sarah Miller, a software engineer from the liberal stronghold of Madison, has heard all of the chatter about a civil war in the…

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 months ago

Paxton makes final pitch in Texas US Senate race against Cornyn

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is touting President Trump's endorsement ahead of his Republican primary runoff against Sen. John Cornyn.

F9FOX 95 days ago

Farmfest 2026: Governor and Senate candidates clash over farming, immigration, and tariffs in Redwood County

Candidates for Minnesota’s top offices took the stage at Farmfest, hoping to win over the state’s influential farm community.

WEWashington Examiner13 days ago

Peggy Flanagan slams Angie Craig for Laken Riley Act vote

Flanagan and Craig are facing off to see who will be the Democratic nominee to replace retiring Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN).

NNewsweek2 days ago

Democratic Socialists Compared to Progressives: List of Elected DSA Members

Abdul El-Sayed has said he's not a democratic socialist, differentiating himself from DSA members who won recent races.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 4, 2025 and Aug 4, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

42.5%

36.3%

P. Flanagan

A. Craig

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Flanagan	Craig
Polling Average	Flanagan+6.3	42.5%	36.3%
SurveyUSAJul 29 - Aug 4	Craig+2.0	40.0%	42.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 23 - 24	Flanagan+14.0	46.0%	32.0%
SurveyUSAJul 15 - 20	Craig+0.0	40.0%	40.0%
Public Policy PollingJun 25 - 26	Flanagan+7.0	43.0%	36.0%
SurveyUSAJun 11 - 16	Craig+5.0	36.0%	41.0%
GQRMay 31 - Jun 3	Flanagan+17.0	55.0%	38.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 26 - 28	Craig+1.0	42.0%	43.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 29 - 30	Flanagan+11.0	44.0%	33.0%
GQRJan 14 - 20	Flanagan+13.0	49.0%	36.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 16 - 17	Flanagan+12.0	40.0%	28.0%
Impact ResearchJan 13 - 15	Flanagan+3.0	45.0%	42.0%
NRSCJul 4 - 7	Flanagan+6.0	30.0%	24.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 22, 2026

$20M

$15M

$10M

$5M

A. Craig

I. Omar

B. McCollum

M. Franzen

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. CraigAngie Craig

$12.75MContrib: $11.27M

$3.57MSpent: $9.18M

$483.1KLast period: $805.7K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

I. OmarIlhan Omar

$5.83MContrib: $5.64M

$1.35MSpent: $4.81M

$253.0KLast period: $113.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

B. McCollumBetty McCollum

$1.25MContrib: $1.25M

$498.7KSpent: $1.31M

$68.8KLast period: $33.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

M. FranzenMelisa López Franzen

$299.4KContrib: $296.1K

$0Spent: $299.4K

$42.8KLast period: $5

TERMINATION REPORT · Jul 15, 2025

Source: FEC

2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Minnesota primary 2025: What's at stake in Tuesday's most competitive races

'My wig is in the mail': Royce White says he'll enter WNBA draft amid trans athlete debate

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

They’re Battle-Tested Democrats. Do Voters Care?

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

Paxton makes final pitch in Texas US Senate race against Cornyn

Farmfest 2026: Governor and Senate candidates clash over farming, immigration, and tariffs in Redwood County

Peggy Flanagan slams Angie Craig for Laken Riley Act vote

Democratic Socialists Compared to Progressives: List of Elected DSA Members

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Minnesota primary 2025: What's at stake in Tuesday's most competitive races

'My wig is in the mail': Royce White says he'll enter WNBA draft amid trans athlete debate

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

They’re Battle-Tested Democrats. Do Voters Care?

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

Paxton makes final pitch in Texas US Senate race against Cornyn

Farmfest 2026: Governor and Senate candidates clash over farming, immigration, and tariffs in Redwood County

Peggy Flanagan slams Angie Craig for Laken Riley Act vote

Democratic Socialists Compared to Progressives: List of Elected DSA Members

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Minnesota primary 2025: What's at stake in Tuesday's most competitive races

'My wig is in the mail': Royce White says he'll enter WNBA draft amid trans athlete debate

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

They’re Battle-Tested Democrats. Do Voters Care?

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

Paxton makes final pitch in Texas US Senate race against Cornyn

Farmfest 2026: Governor and Senate candidates clash over farming, immigration, and tariffs in Redwood County

Peggy Flanagan slams Angie Craig for Laken Riley Act vote

Democratic Socialists Compared to Progressives: List of Elected DSA Members

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Minnesota primary 2025: What's at stake in Tuesday's most competitive races

'My wig is in the mail': Royce White says he'll enter WNBA draft amid trans athlete debate

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

They’re Battle-Tested Democrats. Do Voters Care?

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

Paxton makes final pitch in Texas US Senate race against Cornyn

Farmfest 2026: Governor and Senate candidates clash over farming, immigration, and tariffs in Redwood County

Peggy Flanagan slams Angie Craig for Laken Riley Act vote

Democratic Socialists Compared to Progressives: List of Elected DSA Members

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

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