$41.8K
JUN 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Deb Haaland is being described as the frontrunner in the Democratic governor primary, with polling support and favorable early-vote signs. Independents are leaning heavily toward Democratic ballots, and the race is also being shaped by a debate over how to use New Mexico’s oil revenue windfall. The polling and early-vote data appear to give Haaland a modest edge. The oil-revenue debate adds some issue contrast, but the overall effect on the market looks slightly favorable to Haaland and still somewhat uncertain.
Former Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chavez makes the case for Deb Haaland in the New Mexico gubernatorial primary, defending her record as Interior secretary, congresswoman, and state Democratic Party chair against attacks from rival Sam Bregman's campaign.
A global oil bottleneck in the Strait of Hormuz has created a financial windfall on the other side of the world in New Mexico that is both enviable and politically sensitive in a Democratic-dominated state.
With expanded early voting set to begin, just 25% of unaffiliated voters have selected Republican ballots
SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — Democrat Xavier Becerra is counting on his decades-long public career to catapult him into the California governor's office, but that lengthy political resume has also given his critics fodder to question his competence in the race's closing weeks.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
D. HaalandDeb HaalandSource: FEC
