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JUN 9, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Trump’s endorsement of Randy Feenstra is still driving a sharp repricing in the Iowa Republican governor primary, with Feenstra now around 92% and Zach Lahn down to about 8%. That keeps the top of the market highly tradable ahead of the June 2 primary, even after earlier endorsement-driven moves were already absorbed.
Trump’s new endorsement adds another late catalyst for Randy Feenstra just days before Iowa’s June 2 primary, and the market is already pricing him as the clear GOP nominee favorite. That keeps the top of the market highly tradable for any further repricing.
Trump’s late endorsement gives Randy Feenstra a fresh catalyst just days before Iowa’s June 2 primary, and the market has already repriced him sharply higher into the 90s. That keeps Feenstra the clear favorite, but the size of the move makes the race’s top end worth re-marking for traders.
Trump endorsed Randy Feenstra in the Iowa Republican governor primary, giving him a major boost in the crowded field. The race remains open with Gov. Kim Reynolds not running again, and recent coverage says Iowa’s 2026 contests are drawing unusual attention. Trump’s endorsement likely strengthens Feenstra’s standing in the primary. The crowded field still leaves some uncertainty, but the race may now tilt more toward Feenstra.
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Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
B. ShermanBrad ShermanR. FeenstraRandy FeenstraSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
