Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Iowa Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$4.1M

24h volume

$422.5K

Rob Sand
R. Sand87%
Z
Z. Lahn14%

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Iowa · Governor

Lean RepublicanOpen seatBattleground watch

State Lean

Lean Republican

Battleground watch

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary Jun 2, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

In-person absentee voting generally runs from 20 days before Election Day through the day before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · Public reporting on 2026 gubernatorial non-running incumbents · NCSL · Vote.org

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Iowa 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Zach Lahn is now the Republican nominee for Iowa governor and has been formally embraced by party leaders. Republicans are presenting the fall race as a matchup with Democrat Rob Sand after Lahn’s narrow primary win over Randy Feenstra. Recent Iowa polling in a separate Senate race also points to a Republican edge in the state. Lahn’s nomination removes GOP uncertainty and may modestly strengthen the Republican side. The broader Iowa polling cited in the news is also consistent with a Republican-leaning environment, though it is indirect.

Articles
SSlate2 days ago

This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.

The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago

The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest

Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.

FNFox News2 days ago

Control of Congress hangs in balance across 9 midterm battlegrounds

Control of Congress hangs in the balance as midterm election voters in nine battleground states decide key Senate, House and governor races during Donald Trump's second term.

CNCable News Network2 days ago

CNN’s 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms

On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.

NNewsBreak1 day ago

Midterm elections live updates: Trump says he'll become 'Mr. Veto' if Dems gain control of Congress

President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the Reflecting Pool on Monday. The high-stakes midterm elections are a day away, and candidates are making

DMDes Moines Register2 days ago

Governor candidate Rob Sand's message to voters

Republicans, independents and Democrats statewide support my campaign because they know my record, writes Rob Sand.

NNewsweek3 days ago

Health Care May Be Josh Turek’s Best Weapon Against Ashley Hinson

Medicaid cuts, rising costs, rural care shortages and Iowa's cancer crisis are among the issues Turek has campaigned on.

DDeadline22 hours ago

The Key 2026 Midterm Races Hollywood Is Watching

Donors have only recently gotten more active after a period of Democratic fatigue from bruising 2024 losses.

NNorthjersey.Com4 days ago

Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts

Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.

TWThe Washington Post3 days ago

Democratic official says she won’t vote for Iowa Senate candidate over trans ad

Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."

Latest Polls

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50.6%
Rob Sand
R. Sand
Date (Start - End)SpreadSand
Polling Average
–50.6%
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1
–54.1%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 26 - Nov 1
–51.0%
YouGovOct 26 - 29
–53.0%
co/efficientOct 28 - 28
–50.0%
Echelon InsightsOct 16 - 23
–50.0%
co/efficientOct 15 - 19
–49.0%
New River Strategies/GS Strategy GroupOct 9 - 13
–54.0%
National Public AffairsOct 8 - 12
–50.0%
YouGovOct 6 - 12
–50.0%
Marist UniversityOct 8 - 11
–54.0%
Marist UniversityOct 8 - 11
–52.0%
Emerson CollegeOct 5 - 6
–49.0%
CNN/SSRSSep 29 - Oct 5
–51.0%
Suffolk UniversityOct 1 - 4
–54.8%
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 22 - Oct 1
–52.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
–53.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
–53.0%
Marist UniversitySep 17 - 20
–54.0%
co/efficientSep 14 - 16
–46.0%
CygnalSep 9 - 11
–47.8%
YouGovSep 3 - 8
–50.0%
YouGovSep 3 - 8
–51.0%
YouGovSep 3 - 8
–51.0%
Emerson CollegeAug 31 - Sep 1
–48.6%
Wedgewood PollsAug 27 - 29
–51.0%
Suffolk UniversityAug 19 - 22
–47.8%
Emerson CollegeAug 2 - 4
–48.4%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJun 23 - 27
–53.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27
–48.0%
CygnalJun 16 - 19
–47.7%
Global Strategy GroupApr 23 - 28
–50.0%
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9
–51.0%
GBAOMar 10 - 16
–50.0%
Z to A ResearchOct 9 - 13
–45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Iowa Governor winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Rob Sand

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC

  • Zach Lahn

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Iowa

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC