State Lean
Lean Republican
Battleground watch
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.

Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$4.1M
24h volume
$422.5K

source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Iowa · Governor
State Lean
Lean Republican
Battleground watch
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 2, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
In-person absentee voting generally runs from 20 days before Election Day through the day before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · Public reporting on 2026 gubernatorial non-running incumbents · NCSL · Vote.org
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Iowa 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Zach Lahn is now the Republican nominee for Iowa governor and has been formally embraced by party leaders. Republicans are presenting the fall race as a matchup with Democrat Rob Sand after Lahn’s narrow primary win over Randy Feenstra. Recent Iowa polling in a separate Senate race also points to a Republican edge in the state. Lahn’s nomination removes GOP uncertainty and may modestly strengthen the Republican side. The broader Iowa polling cited in the news is also consistent with a Republican-leaning environment, though it is indirect.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
Control of Congress hangs in the balance as midterm election voters in nine battleground states decide key Senate, House and governor races during Donald Trump's second term.
On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.
President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the Reflecting Pool on Monday. The high-stakes midterm elections are a day away, and candidates are making
Republicans, independents and Democrats statewide support my campaign because they know my record, writes Rob Sand.
Medicaid cuts, rising costs, rural care shortages and Iowa's cancer crisis are among the issues Turek has campaigned on.
Donors have only recently gotten more active after a period of Democratic fatigue from bruising 2024 losses.
Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.
Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."

| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Sand |
|---|---|---|
Polling Average | – | 50.6% |
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1 | – | 54.1% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 26 - Nov 1 | – | 51.0% |
YouGovOct 26 - 29 | – | 53.0% |
co/efficientOct 28 - 28 | – | 50.0% |
Echelon InsightsOct 16 - 23 | – | 50.0% |
co/efficientOct 15 - 19 | – | 49.0% |
New River Strategies/GS Strategy GroupOct 9 - 13 | – | 54.0% |
National Public AffairsOct 8 - 12 | – | 50.0% |
YouGovOct 6 - 12 | – | 50.0% |
Marist UniversityOct 8 - 11 | – | 54.0% |
Marist UniversityOct 8 - 11 | – | 52.0% |
Emerson CollegeOct 5 - 6 | – | 49.0% |
CNN/SSRSSep 29 - Oct 5 | – | 51.0% |
Suffolk UniversityOct 1 - 4 | – | 54.8% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 22 - Oct 1 | – | 52.0% |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28 | – | 53.0% |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28 | – | 53.0% |
Marist UniversitySep 17 - 20 | – | 54.0% |
co/efficientSep 14 - 16 | – | 46.0% |
CygnalSep 9 - 11 | – | 47.8% |
YouGovSep 3 - 8 | – | 50.0% |
YouGovSep 3 - 8 | – | 51.0% |
YouGovSep 3 - 8 | – | 51.0% |
Emerson CollegeAug 31 - Sep 1 | – | 48.6% |
Wedgewood PollsAug 27 - 29 | – | 51.0% |
Suffolk UniversityAug 19 - 22 | – | 47.8% |
Emerson CollegeAug 2 - 4 | – | 48.4% |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJun 23 - 27 | – | 53.0% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27 | – | 48.0% |
CygnalJun 16 - 19 | – | 47.7% |
Global Strategy GroupApr 23 - 28 | – | 50.0% |
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9 | – | 51.0% |
GBAOMar 10 - 16 | – | 50.0% |
Z to A ResearchOct 9 - 13 | – | 45.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC
Zach Lahn
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Iowa
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC