Prediction Edge
ActiveGeneral Election

2028 Idaho Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Recorded market close:

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$3.2K

24h volume

$5

R
R. party91%
D
D. party16%

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Idaho · US Senate

Strong RepublicanNot a core swing state

State Lean

Strong Republican

Not a core swing state

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary May 19, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

County-option early voting may run from the third Monday before Election Day through the Friday before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

FRI 10

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Jim Risch has secured the Republican nomination for Idaho’s 2028 Senate race. David Roth won the Democratic nomination, and Todd Achilles is also in the race as an independent. Idaho’s strong Republican lean keeps the GOP favored heading into the general election. Risch’s primary win likely reinforces Republican strength in the race. The independent candidacy adds a little uncertainty, but the overall outlook still appears GOP-favored.

Articles
MJMother Jones2 days ago

On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms

2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

BSBaltimore Sun2 months ago

What if neither party controls the House or Senate? | GUEST COMMENTARY

Opinion: Though unlikely, if independents perform well in the midterms, neither party might control the U.S. Senate, writes Dave Anderson.

TBThe Boston Globe5 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Democrats try to defend California and make inroads in Iowa

Here are some things to watch as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast ballots.

UNU.S. News & World Report6 months ago

Trump Tightens Grip, Exacts Revenge With Big Wins in Republican Primaries

The president’s favored candidates scored decisive victories while his opponents were soundly rejected by Republican primary voters. But whether that amounts to wins in November remains to be seen.

NYNew York Magazine6 months ago

Trump Gets Revenge on Massie, But Primary May Haunt GOP

Tuesday’s election results gave Trump revenge on Representative Thomas Massie — but the primary may haunt the GOP. As the president focused on taking down several Republican foes, Democrats got some good news for Democrats.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press6 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

FNFox News15 hours ago

Election Day 2026 polls open with House and Senate control at stake

Election Day 2026 midterm elections determine control of the House and Senate as Republicans defend slim majorities. Donald Trump predicts a GOP hold despite polls favoring Democrats.

HCHartford Courant30 days ago

Trump heads to Nebraska, where his plan to import more beef has angered ranchers

By SEUNG MIN KIM WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump is taking his Republican midterm rescue mission to Nebraska on Monday, campaigning alongside GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts, who is running against an independent candidate backed by national Democrats. Trump is headed to Grand Island, Nebraska, located in the solidly conservative south-central part of the state. […]

NNNBC News3 months ago

What to watch in blockbuster Michigan primary and suspect arrested in Spokane wildfire: Morning Rundown

Michigan’s primary races will test the Democratic Party’s deepest divisions.

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

No verified final result is available for this race.

  • Democratic party

    Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho?

    Settlement pending

  • Republican party

    Will Republicans win the Senate race in Idaho?

    Settlement pending