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Who will win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican Primary?

Jun 10, 2026, 3:59am UTC, 5 days agoLast updated: Jun 15, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

$158.5K

JUN 10, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$158.5K

24h volume

$1.8K

R. Charles99%

B. Midgley4%

J. Bush2%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

Maine 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Charles’s nomination price snapped back to 97% as AP and Maine reporting say ranked-choice tabulation is underway and he remains the clear Republican frontrunner, keeping the trade near ceiling.

97%22%

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Robert Charles's odds are down 14.4 points and are now 84% in "Maine Republican Governor nominee?" over a 3-day streak.

84%14%

News

AINews Summary

Maine’s Republican gubernatorial primary is still being tabulated under ranked-choice voting. Bobby Charles led the first round, with Ben Midgley and Jonathan Bush behind him, while Garrett Mason trailed. The official nominee has not yet been determined. The market remains uncertain until ranked-choice counting is finished. Charles looks like the early frontrunner, but the final nominee is still unresolved.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner2 days ago

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Schumer’s optimism comes as Democrats navigate high-profile Senate races that could determine control of the upper chamber.

TIThe Intercept3 days ago

The Right’s “Election Fraud” Cry for Midterms Previewed in Primaries

Spencer Pratt’s pratfall in LA, Graham Platner’s victory, prediction markets, and other takeaways from the California and Maine primary elections.

BDBangor Daily News5 days ago

Republicans are worried after Maine Democrats’ strong primary turnout

More than 200,000 voters cast ballots in the Democratic Senate primary, up from 162,000 in the party's 2020 primary.

BDBangor Daily News4 days ago

Maine candidates fish, fret and spin results during a ranked-choice voting lull

After a primary night without closure, several candidates aiming to replace Gov. Janet Mills are playing the waiting game.

SSFGATE6 days ago

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....

PPPortland Press Herald6 days ago

Contentious primaries draw Mainers to the polls

Republican and Democratic primaries for governor, as well as the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, are being watched across the country as bellwethers for national political trends.

WEWashington Examiner9 days ago

Trump urges Alabama to back Barry Moore as polls show tight GOP Senate primary

President Donald Trump reiterated his endorsement of Rep. Barry Moore (R-AL) for the Alabama Senate seat on Friday as Moore faces a challenging runoff

WEWashington Examiner4 days ago

‘New man’ Graham Platner can’t stop lying

There is overwhelming evidence that Platner knew the meaning of his Nazi Totenkopf tattoo before last year.

TAThe Associated Press5 days ago

Trump sees Democratic hypocrisy over Platner, despite own past conduct

President Donald Trump is accusing the Democratic Party of hypocrisy for supporting Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner despite his own history of misconduct against women.

PPPortland Press Herald5 days ago

Maine Democrats buoyed by voter turnout - a troubling sign for Republicans

With nearly 90% of the ballots counted, Democrats cast 67,000 more votes than 2018, with independents joining them by a 3-to-1 margin.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

38.6%

23%

17.2%

10.4%

9.0%

R. Charles

S. Moody

J. Bush

G. Mason

B. Midgley

D. Jones

O. McCarthy

R. Wessels

J. Libby

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Charles	Moody	Bush	Mason	Midgley	Jones	McCarthy	Wessels	Libby
Polling Average	Charles+15.6	38.6%	23.0%	17.2%	10.4%	9.0%	4.2%	4.2%	3.2%	1.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3	Charles+17.0	34.0%	–	17.0%	10.0%	10.0%	2.0%	7.0%	2.0%	0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3	Charles+19.0	42.0%	–	23.0%	13.0%	13.0%	–	9.0%	–	–
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3	Charles+18.0	44.0%	–	26.0%	14.0%	16.0%	–	–	–	–
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3	Charles+20.0	51.0%	–	31.0%	–	18.0%	–	–	–	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25	Charles+19.0	37.0%	–	18.0%	9.0%	11.0%	7.0%	2.0%	6.0%	–
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18	Charles+16.0	36.0%	–	20.0%	13.0%	2.0%	3.0%	4.0%	1.0%	–
McLaughlin & AssociatesApr 28 - 30	Charles+36.0	47.0%	–	11.0%	11.0%	5.0%	–	–	–	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16	Charles+16.0	28.0%	–	5.0%	12.0%	6.0%	7.0%	1.0%	4.0%	2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 23 - 25	Charles+5.0	28.0%	23.0%	4.0%	1.0%	0.3%	2.0%	2.0%	3.0%	1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Dec 31, 2025

$1M

$750K

$500K

$250K

B. Poliquin

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

B. PoliquinBruce Poliquin

$0Contrib: $0

$0Spent: $18.3K

$1.5KLast period: $0

TERMINATION REPORT · Dec 31, 2025

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican Primary?

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

News

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

The Right’s “Election Fraud” Cry for Midterms Previewed in Primaries

Republicans are worried after Maine Democrats’ strong primary turnout

Maine candidates fish, fret and spin results during a ranked-choice voting lull

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Contentious primaries draw Mainers to the polls

Trump urges Alabama to back Barry Moore as polls show tight GOP Senate primary

‘New man’ Graham Platner can’t stop lying

Trump sees Democratic hypocrisy over Platner, despite own past conduct

Maine Democrats buoyed by voter turnout - a troubling sign for Republicans

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Maine Senate winner?

Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

ME-02 Democratic nominee?

Maine Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

News

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

The Right’s “Election Fraud” Cry for Midterms Previewed in Primaries

Republicans are worried after Maine Democrats’ strong primary turnout

Maine candidates fish, fret and spin results during a ranked-choice voting lull

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Contentious primaries draw Mainers to the polls

Trump urges Alabama to back Barry Moore as polls show tight GOP Senate primary

‘New man’ Graham Platner can’t stop lying

Trump sees Democratic hypocrisy over Platner, despite own past conduct

Maine Democrats buoyed by voter turnout - a troubling sign for Republicans

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Maine Senate winner?

Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

ME-02 Democratic nominee?

Maine Governor winner?