$73.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 49.4% | $429.6K | |
| 6% | 37.9% | — | |
| 2% | 5.6% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest new item is a report that Hannah Pingree is leading the Maine governor race by double digits. Bobby Charles is described as little-known and closely linked to Trump. A new family rebuke of Charles adds another negative headline for Republicans. The reported double-digit lead points to stronger Democratic odds and weaker Republican sentiment. The family endorsement split for Charles adds a small negative signal for the GOP, though the overall effect is still based on polling commentary.
Senate Republicans’ top campaign spending organization is pulling back in purple North Carolina and pouring money into red Kansas. That striking shift shows how the party’s plan to keep its majority in November has turned into an increasingly defensive fight.
Troy Jackson is boosted by those looking for change, while Collins peels off some Trump disapprovers.
Former Gov. Paul LePage promised in a Thursday debate that he could get President Donald Trump’s ear, voicing disagreements with the president on tariffs,
The onslaught of political ads means less airtime for Maine's bakeries, car dealerships, shops, colleges, professional services firms and others looking to get their own messages out.
Democrats in Maine have a new nominee to take on long-time incumbent Sen. Susan Collins in a race that is pivotal for both parties to win a Senate majority.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris on Monday endorsed Maine's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, Troy Jackson, just two days after the state's party used a...
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 15, 2026 and Oct 1, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
H. PingreeHannah PingreeSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
