$67.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest Oklahoma development is that Mike Mazzei advanced to a Republican gubernatorial runoff against Gentner Drummond. That leaves the GOP nomination undecided for now. Separately, Kevin Hern won the Republican Senate nomination, with the report noting outside spending in his race. The gubernatorial race is still unresolved, so the market should reflect continued uncertainty until the runoff is decided. The Hern news is relevant to Oklahoma Republicans more broadly, but it does not directly settle the governor’s race.
Crypto PAC poured $12 million into Barry Moore’s Alabama Senate bid, and it worked: the Trump loyalist crushed former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson in the GOP primary runoff, setting him up as the likely nominee in November.
The Washington Post published new rankings of potential presidential candidates, even though the presidential election cycle won't rev up until after this fall's midterm elections.
Contests in those states have pitted allies against each other in a fierce competition for the president's endorsement.
Jobs and Democracy PAC, funded by artificial intelligence industry figures, is backing Brook Park Democrat Brian Poindexter in Tuesday's 7th District congressional primary.
A new map shows where AI super PACs are pouring millions into 2026 races as states debate sweeping tech rules.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
House GOP Policy Chair Kevin Hern enters the race for Markwayne Mullin’s Senate seat, tapping Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio as he targets "radical left" policies.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
