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Which Party wins the 2026 Tennessee Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 115 daysLast updated: Jul 16, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC

Tennessee Governor winner?

$8.1K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

94.0%

D. Party

4.7%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$8.1K

24h volume

$685

R. Party94%

D. Party5%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

THU 6

Tennessee 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Tennessee 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Marsha Blackburn is still seen as the frontrunner in Tennessee’s Republican governor primary. The primary is scheduled for August 6, with early voting starting July 17. The winner is widely expected to be favored in the general election. The news reinforces Blackburn as the main name to watch and suggests Republicans remain favored overall. It does not add much uncertainty to the general-election outlook.

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TDThe Daily Beast14 days ago

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Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

50%

43%

27.3%

M. Blackburn

J. Rose

J. Green

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Blackburn	Rose	Green
Polling Average	Blackburn+7.0	50.0%	43.0%	27.3%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 20 - 27	Blackburn+24.0	51.0%	–	27.0%
Quantus InsightsAug 5 - 7	Blackburn+21.0	49.0%	–	28.0%
Quantus InsightsAug 5 - 7	Rose+16.0	–	43.0%	27.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements
Fundraising

Which Party wins the 2026 Tennessee Governor Election?

Tennessee Governor winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Collins, Dooley advance to runoff in Georgia GOP Senate primary

Rep. Mike Collins Heads to Georgia GOP Senate Runoff

MAGA Senator’s Bid to Dodge Questions Turns Into Excruciating Farce

Kamala Harris tells Justin Pearson 'your fight is for America'

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

What to expect in Georgia's primaries

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Georgia's primaries

Prediction markets weigh in on Tennessee's midterm elections

Investigation into deadly B

Polls

Related races

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

TN-05 Democratic nominee?

TN-04 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Collins, Dooley advance to runoff in Georgia GOP Senate primary

Rep. Mike Collins Heads to Georgia GOP Senate Runoff

MAGA Senator’s Bid to Dodge Questions Turns Into Excruciating Farce

Kamala Harris tells Justin Pearson 'your fight is for America'

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

What to expect in Georgia's primaries

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Georgia's primaries

Prediction markets weigh in on Tennessee's midterm elections

Investigation into deadly B

Polls

Related races

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

TN-05 Democratic nominee?

TN-04 Democratic nominee?