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2026 Tennessee Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Tennessee Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Tennessee Governor winner?

$290.8K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Hatley

3.0%

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Marsha Blackburn	94%	48.3%	$3.09M
Jerri Green	5%	31.7%	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$290.8K

24h volume

$19.6K

M. Blackburn94%

J. Green5%

D. Hatley3%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Tennessee 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Marsha Blackburn won the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial nomination and will face Democrat Jerri Green in the general election. She defeated John Rose and Monty Fritts in the GOP primary. The nomination is now settled, shifting attention to November. Blackburn’s nomination gives Republicans a clear standard-bearer and likely keeps the GOP favored. The main market question now is the general election matchup, not the primary.

Articles

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel2 days ago

Amid incumbent backlash, how could Trump affect Tennessee elections?

U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn will likely be Tennessee's next governor. But for the first time in decades, there's could be a path to victory outside the GOP.

ZZeroHedge1 day ago

Dolly Parton's Sister Says Tennessee Machine Kept Defaulting To Blackburn; State Claims "Not A Vote Flipping Situation"

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

AAL.com3 months ago

Trump endorsed Republican loses in Tennessee: Blackburn wins governor’s primary

The primaries provided the first test of a House map redrawn after the Supreme Court weakened Voting Rights Act protections for minorities.

UTUSA TODAY3 months ago

Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor

Tennessee is set to elect its first woman governor with Republican Marsha Blackburn set to face Democrat Jerri Green in the November general election.

TNThe New York Times3 months ago

Blackburn Wins Republican Nomination for Tennessee Governor

Senator Marsha Blackburn easily beat two Republican rivals and is now favored to become the state’s first female governor after the November elections.

WWJLA3 months ago

Marsha Blackburn projected to win Tennessee Republican primary for governor

U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn has won Tennessee's Republican primary for governor and will advance to the Nov. 3 general election, according to the AP.

WEWashington Examiner3 months ago

Sen. Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor

Blackburn is largely expected to coast through the general election and keep the governor's mansion in Republican hands.

FNFox News3 months ago

Marsha Blackburn wins Tennessee GOP gubernatorial primary in 2026

Sen. Marsha Blackburn won the Tennessee GOP primary for governor, replacing term-limited Bill Lee. She defeated Rep. John Rose and ran on immigration and China issues.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

SCSanta Clarita Valley Signal5 months ago

Collins, Dooley advance to runoff in Georgia GOP Senate primary

By Nathan Worcester Contributing Writer JACKSON, Ga. — A competitive contest among Georgia Republicans is on its way to a second round. As of 11:52 p.m. ET on Tuesday, none of the major candidates […]

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 5, 2025 and Oct 16, 2026.

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

48.3%

31.7%

M. Blackburn

J. Green

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Blackburn	Green
Polling Average	Blackburn+16.6	48.3%	31.7%
Spry StrategiesOct 10 - 16	Blackburn+11.5	43.5%	32.0%
TargetSmartSep 9 - 12	Blackburn+9.0	45.0%	36.0%
Targoz Market ResearchAug 15 - 26	Blackburn+21.0	55.0%	34.0%
Targoz Market ResearchAug 15 - 26	Blackburn+13.0	46.0%	33.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 20 - 27	Blackburn+24.0	51.0%	27.0%
Quantus InsightsAug 5 - 7	Blackburn+21.0	49.0%	28.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

M. Blackburn

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. BlackburnMarsha Blackburn

$3.09MContrib: $379.1K

$433.7KSpent: $7.79M

$432.9KLast period: $15.4K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

2026 Tennessee Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Tennessee Governor winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Amid incumbent backlash, how could Trump affect Tennessee elections?

Dolly Parton's Sister Says Tennessee Machine Kept Defaulting To Blackburn; State Claims "Not A Vote Flipping Situation"

Trump endorsed Republican loses in Tennessee: Blackburn wins governor’s primary

Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor

Blackburn Wins Republican Nomination for Tennessee Governor

Marsha Blackburn projected to win Tennessee Republican primary for governor

Sen. Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor

Marsha Blackburn wins Tennessee GOP gubernatorial primary in 2026

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Collins, Dooley advance to runoff in Georgia GOP Senate primary

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Tennessee Senate winner?

TN-05 House winner?

TN-09 House winner?

TN-03 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Amid incumbent backlash, how could Trump affect Tennessee elections?

Dolly Parton's Sister Says Tennessee Machine Kept Defaulting To Blackburn; State Claims "Not A Vote Flipping Situation"

Trump endorsed Republican loses in Tennessee: Blackburn wins governor’s primary

Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor

Blackburn Wins Republican Nomination for Tennessee Governor

Marsha Blackburn projected to win Tennessee Republican primary for governor

Sen. Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor

Marsha Blackburn wins Tennessee GOP gubernatorial primary in 2026

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Collins, Dooley advance to runoff in Georgia GOP Senate primary

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Tennessee Senate winner?

TN-05 House winner?

TN-09 House winner?

TN-03 House winner?