Prediction Edge
Democrat
Abdul El-Sayed

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Abdul El-Sayed is trading at 100% to win the Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysician

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age41 years old (Oct 31, 1984)

GenderMale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundPhysician

EducationUniversity of Michigan (BS)

Notable personal detailsAbdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed is an American physician and epidemiologist who served as executive director and health officer of the Detroit Health Department (2015–2017) and later as director of Wayne County, Michigan’s Department of Health, Human, and Veterans Services (2023–2025). He previously was an assistant professor of epidemiology at Columbia University and hosts the podcast "America Dissected". He ran for the Democratic nomination for governor of Michigan in 2018 and is running in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate election.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports taxing corporations and wealthy interests to fund expanded public investment and programs, including proposals for progressive payroll taxes and business gross-receipts or income-based levies to finance universal healthcare, infrastructure, and other public priorities.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and elimination of medical debt; advocates guaranteeing comprehensive, public health insurance for every American while also expanding targeted programs and debt relief.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports abolishing U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and has advocated for sanctuary-state policies and protections for immigrant communities. He frames ICE as a paramilitary force that should be dismantled rather than reformed and pledges to lead abolition efforts in the Senate.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports robust pro-choice policies and protection of abortion access, including advocating for Planned Parenthood and state-level measures to protect and expand reproductive health services. Has proposed repealing restrictive state laws that criminalize or limit abortion and said comprehensive family planning must include access to abortion care. Seeks to defend and codify protections for abortion access as part of broader reproductive justice and health-care policy.

Climate & Energy

Supports the Green New Deal framework and advocates for aggressive action on climate change tied to public-health and environmental-justice goals; has taken regulatory and enforcement actions against local polluters and promoted clean-air measures while in public-health roles. Campaign materials emphasize tackling pollution, removing lead, and investing in communities harmed by fossil-fuel emissions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning military-style assault weapons and expanding federal measures to reduce gun trafficking and close background-check loopholes; advocates for stronger federal gun-safety laws to reduce mass shootings and household gun-related harms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 13, 2026

Abdul El-Sayed has won the Michigan Democratic Senate primary and is now the party’s nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate race, setting up a general election against Republican Mike Rogers. The win was narrow, and it has energized progressives while also raising concerns among some Democrats about competitiveness in a battleground state. He has also faced attacks over his Muslim identity and false online claims, which fact-checkers have rejected. After the primary, he said he spoke with Barack Obama and hopes to help unify Michigan Democrats for the general election.

en.wikipedia.org+58

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Abdul El-Sayed currently averages 36.8%, ranking first in this race, 5.4 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 36.8%Position: firstMargin: +5.4 ptsLatest poll: 56.0% (Jul 28 - 30)Polls included: 36

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 28 - 30.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
36.8%
31.4%
Abdul El-Sayed
A. El-Sayed
Haley Stevens
H. Stevens
Date (Start - End)SpreadEl-SayedStevens
Polling Average
El-Sayed+5.4
36.8%31.4%
SoCal StrategiesJul 28 - 30
El-Sayed+17.0
56.0%39.0%
Zenith ResearchJul 26 - 30
El-Sayed+19.0
53.0%34.0%
Zenith ResearchJul 26 - 30
El-Sayed+18.0
59.0%41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
El-Sayed+14.0
52.0%38.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJul 25 - 29
El-Sayed+13.7
49.7%36.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJul 25 - 29
El-Sayed+8.1
47.6%39.5%
Emerson CollegeJul 26 - 27
El-Sayed+16.3
57.1%40.8%
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27
El-Sayed+10.0
46.0%36.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27
El-Sayed+11.0
48.0%37.0%
Tulchin ResearchJul 13 - 15
El-Sayed+16.0
56.0%40.0%
Data for ProgressJul 10 - 14
El-Sayed+13.0
54.0%41.0%
Glengariff GroupJul 8 - 11
Stevens+7.0
41.0%48.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 6 - 7
Stevens+1.0
41.0%42.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 6 - 7
El-Sayed+3.0
41.0%38.0%
Quantus InsightsJun 29 - 30
El-Sayed+5.4
41.0%35.6%
Tulchin ResearchJun 24 - 28
El-Sayed+19.0
46.0%27.0%
Wedgewood PollsJun 25 - 28
El-Sayed+7.0
46.0%39.0%
Peak InsightsJun 20 - 24
El-Sayed+11.0
39.0%28.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchJun 9 - 14
El-Sayed+2.0
22.0%20.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
El-Sayed+9.0
42.0%33.0%
Lake Research PartnersMay 26 - 28
El-Sayed+3.0
34.0%31.0%
Tulchin ResearchMay 19 - 25
El-Sayed+18.0
41.0%23.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
Stevens+4.0
31.0%35.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
El-Sayed+9.0
27.0%18.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 17 - 19
Stevens+2.0
22.9%24.9%
Emerson CollegeApr 11 - 13
El-Sayed+10.6
24.0%13.4%
Data for ProgressApr 2 - 8
Stevens+1.0
22.0%23.0%
Global Strategy GroupMar 19 - 22
El-Sayed+2.0
25.0%23.0%
Upswing ResearchFeb 26 - Mar 2
Stevens+4.0
23.0%27.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 10 - 16
Stevens+2.0
26.0%28.0%
Emerson CollegeJan 24 - 25
Stevens+0.6
15.9%16.5%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
Stevens+11.0
16.0%27.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
Stevens+6.0
20.0%26.0%
NRSCJul 4 - 7
Stevens+2.0
22.0%24.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 28 - Jun 2
Stevens+9.0
15.0%24.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
Stevens+12.1
22.2%34.3%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

23
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$14.5M
$10.9M
$7.3M
$3.6M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$14.5M
$2.6M
$12.0M
$630.3K

Source: FEC