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Which Party wins the 2026 Michigan Senate Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 144 daysLast updated: Jun 16, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC

Michigan Senate winner?

$170.8K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

70.0%

R. Party

33.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$170.8K

24h volume

$1.1K

D. Party70%

R. Party33%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 4

Michigan 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Michigan’s Senate race remains focused on a competitive Democratic primary between Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed. Chuck Schumer has publicly backed Stevens, while earlier polling showed El-Sayed with a small lead. The primary is set for August 4. The news mainly affects the Democratic nomination fight, not the party-control market directly. Schumer’s backing may help Stevens, but the race still looks competitive and uncertain.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner3 days ago

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Schumer’s optimism comes as Democrats navigate high-profile Senate races that could determine control of the upper chamber.

PPPortland Press Herald4 days ago

Early signs point to a scorched-earth race for Maine’s US Senate seat

Graham Platner and Susan Collins are spending millions going after one another 5 months before one of the most critical elections in the country.

NYNew York Post5 days ago

Election handicapper shifts three Senate races toward Democrats - but GOP still favored to hold majority

A trio of midterm Senate races were shifted in favor of Democrats Thursday by a top election handicapper, but Republicans are still favored to maintain control of the upper chamber.

NNewsweek5 days ago

GOP Chances of Losing Senate as Two Seats Become Tossups

Republicans hold a 53–47 Senate edge; Democrats must flip four seats, while the GOP needs just one key win to keep control.

TDThe Dallas Morning News15 days ago

John Cornyn stands by criticism of Ken Paxton as unfit for office

Sen. John Cornyn will support the “Republican ticket” in November, but he still believes Attorney General Ken Paxton is a crook who is unfit for office.

DFDetroit Free Press19 days ago

El-Sayed, McMorrow and Stevens square off in debate

The three candidates vying for the Democratic nomination participated in a debate on Mackinac Island.

TBThe Boston Globe6 days ago

Defying Trump ended some Republicans’ careers. It could help Susan Collins.

Collins is seeking her sixth term with sky-high name recognition, a record-breaking run of consecutive Senate votes, and a history of bringing back federal funding for her state for years.

WWIS101 month ago

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

President Donald Trump is having some success in his latest attempt to politically punish Republicans who stand in his way.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News2 months ago

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Trump’s recent rallies in Arizona and Nevada highlight GOP efforts to secure an alternative route to White House

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

47%

45.5%

45.1%

45%

41%

40.5%

40.0%

G. Whitmer

T. Dixon

H. Stevens

D. Nessel

B. Posthumus

A. El-Sayed

B. Huizenga

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Whitmer	Dixon	Stevens	Nessel	Posthumus	El-Sayed	Huizenga
Polling Average	Whitmer+1.5	47.0%	45.5%	45.1%	45.0%	41.0%	40.5%	40.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	Stevens+6.0	–	–	45.1%	–	–	–	39.1%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	Huizenga+0.5	–	–	–	–	–	40.5%	41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Whitmer+6.0	47.0%	–	–	–	41.0%	–	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Nessel+0.0	–	45.0%	–	45.0%	–	–	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Whitmer+1.0	47.0%	46.0%	–	–	–	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Michigan Senate Election?

Michigan Senate winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Early signs point to a scorched-earth race for Maine’s US Senate seat

Election handicapper shifts three Senate races toward Democrats - but GOP still favored to hold majority

GOP Chances of Losing Senate as Two Seats Become Tossups

John Cornyn stands by criticism of Ken Paxton as unfit for office

El-Sayed, McMorrow and Stevens square off in debate

Defying Trump ended some Republicans’ careers. It could help Susan Collins.

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Polls

Related races

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Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Governor winner?

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Upcoming Events

News

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Early signs point to a scorched-earth race for Maine’s US Senate seat

Election handicapper shifts three Senate races toward Democrats - but GOP still favored to hold majority

GOP Chances of Losing Senate as Two Seats Become Tossups

John Cornyn stands by criticism of Ken Paxton as unfit for office

El-Sayed, McMorrow and Stevens square off in debate

Defying Trump ended some Republicans’ careers. It could help Susan Collins.

Trump flexes control over Republican Party: Takeaways from elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Polls

Related races

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?