State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Michigan Senate winner?
$27.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 79% | $14.51M | |
| 23% | $10.90M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$27.1M
24h volume
$6.4M
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Michigan · US Senate
CompetitiveOpen seatCore swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 4, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early voting is generally available by the second Saturday before Election Day through the Sunday before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Michigan’s open Senate race is shaping up as a toss-up between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers. Early polling has Rogers slightly ahead, while Republicans are pouring money into the race and other battlegrounds. El-Sayed’s primary win and high-profile endorsements keep Democrats firmly in the fight. The race still looks highly competitive, with early polling slightly favoring Rogers. Heavy outside Republican spending could help GOP odds, but the overall signal remains mixed.
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Latest Polls
Glengariff Group
50%40%30%20%10%0%
40.5%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 15, 2026$20M
$15M
$10M
$5M
$0
A. El-Sayed
M. Rogers
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
A. El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed$14.51MContrib: $14.48M
$2.55MSpent: $11.96M
$629.6KLast period: $2.30M
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026
M. RogersMike Rogers$10.90MContrib: $7.68M
$4.47MSpent: $6.68M
$351.6KLast period: $317.1K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Michigan Senate winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC