$1.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 10, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | $14.53M | |
| 45% | $10.90M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Haley Stevens is leading Abdul El-Sayed in recent primary polling, while outside spending has surged on her behalf. Sanders and AOC have now campaigned for El-Sayed, underscoring the party split ahead of the Aug. 4 primary. The winner will face Republican Mike Rogers in November. The latest polling and heavy outside spending appear to favor Stevens in the primary, which would shape the general-election matchup. The race still looks competitive, so uncertainty remains until the Aug. 4 primary.
Obama “knows a lot about winning Michigan” after carrying the state in 2008 and 2012, he said.
Francesca Hong says she can appeal to a wide coalition in November. Her detractors worry the democratic socialist will lose the crucial battleground race.
Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed says he's spoken with Barack Obama and hopes the former president will campaign with him.
Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed says he's spoken with Barack Obama and hopes the former president will campaign with him. Democrats are trying to unite after a bitter primary campaign that...
Jake Lang had come looking for a confrontation. Instead, he found himself drowned out by a room full of citizens chanting “USA! USA!” — and, at least for
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed on Sunday described a “really warm” conversation with former President Barack Obama as the party seeks to find a path forward following last week’s bruising primary.
Michigan Democrats kicked off their general election campaign with a rally in Detroit featuring the party's statewide ticket.
The Michigan Senate candidate said the former president "knows a lot about winning Michigan."
Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic nominee for US Senate in Michigan, embraced Donald Trump’s suggestion that the two represent “VERY DIFFERENT” versions of the
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 13, 2025 and May 8, 2025.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed
M. RogersMike RogersSource: FEC
