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2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC

Michigan Senate winner?

$787.0K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 7, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Abdul El-SayedDemocratic	58%	$14.53M
Mike RogersRepublican	44%	$10.90M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$787.0K

24h volume

$98.0K

A. El-Sayed58%

M. Rogers44%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Michigan Senate winner?

El-Sayed’s primary win locks in a November matchup with Mike Rogers and confirms the general-election market’s post-primary repricing is now about the final Senate contest.

Michigan Senate winner?

El-Sayed’s win resolves the Democratic nomination and locks in a general-election matchup with Mike Rogers, giving traders a clearer post-primary read on the open Michigan Senate race.

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Haley Stevens is leading Abdul El-Sayed in recent primary polling, while outside spending has surged on her behalf. Sanders and AOC have now campaigned for El-Sayed, underscoring the party split ahead of the Aug. 4 primary. The winner will face Republican Mike Rogers in November. The latest polling and heavy outside spending appear to favor Stevens in the primary, which would shape the general-election matchup. The race still looks competitive, so uncertainty remains until the Aug. 4 primary.

Articles

MLM Live Michigan 20 hours ago

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

The president called the Democratic nominee "a man of hate" during a Las Vegas speech, while El-Sayed responded by focusing on his policy platform of Medicare for all and getting money out of politics.

CNCBS News14 hours ago

Michigan Dems launch statewide organizing push to consolidate support after primary

Michigan Democratic Party Chair Curtis Hertel says the party is focused on a big-tent approach, with organizers already in the field ahead of the general election.

NNJ.com2 days ago

Ex-Yankees star rips Democrats after Abdul El-Sayed’s win: ‘Socialism isn’t fringe anymore’

Abdul El-Sayed's narrow Michigan Senate primary win over Rep. Haley Stevens sparked the former slugger's remarks.

AAL.com2 days ago

Abdul El-Sayed channels Will Smith in warning to GOP opponent in Michigan Senate race

“You know, they think they want to use my whole name against me,” El-Sayed said.

TNThe New York Times2 days ago

Opinion | Abdul El-Sayed Thinks Progressives Have a Way to Win. I Hope He’s Right.

Abdul El-Sayed is quick, magnetic, overflowing with infectious confidence. But he also has a blind spot endemic to his movement.

MLM Live Michigan 2 days ago

Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic Senate nominee, vows challenge to Trump

Abdul El-Sayed, who has never held elected office, defeated U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens by less than 15,000 votes and vows to fight Trump's policies if elected in November.

WWJLA2 days ago

Ted Cruz: Democrat El-Sayed's primary success part of Islamic 'takeover' of US

The Texas Republican has vilified Michigan's Abdul El-Sayed as he clears the field for the Great Lakes State's U.S. Senate election.

BNBreitbart News Network1 day ago

Democrat Hospital Chaplain May Become Michigan's First Transgender Lawmaker

A man living as a woman in Michigan may soon become the state's first transgender lawmaker after winning the Democrat Primary on Tuesday.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 13, 2025 and May 8, 2025.

Glengariff Group

50%40%30%20%10%0%

40.5%

A. El-Sayed

Date (Start - End)	Spread	El-Sayed
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	–	40.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Abdul El-Sayed

Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for the 2026 Michigan Senate race.

2026 Michigan Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Michigan Senate winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Michigan Senate winner?

Michigan Senate winner?

Latest Election News

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

Michigan Dems launch statewide organizing push to consolidate support after primary

Ex-Yankees star rips Democrats after Abdul El-Sayed’s win: ‘Socialism isn’t fringe anymore’

Abdul El-Sayed channels Will Smith in warning to GOP opponent in Michigan Senate race

Opinion | Abdul El-Sayed Thinks Progressives Have a Way to Win. I Hope He’s Right.

Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic Senate nominee, vows challenge to Trump

Ted Cruz: Democrat El-Sayed's primary success part of Islamic 'takeover' of US

Democrat Hospital Chaplain May Become Michigan's First Transgender Lawmaker

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

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Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

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Michigan Governor winner?

MI-01 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Michigan Senate winner?

Michigan Senate winner?

Latest Election News

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

Michigan Dems launch statewide organizing push to consolidate support after primary

Ex-Yankees star rips Democrats after Abdul El-Sayed’s win: ‘Socialism isn’t fringe anymore’

Abdul El-Sayed channels Will Smith in warning to GOP opponent in Michigan Senate race

Opinion | Abdul El-Sayed Thinks Progressives Have a Way to Win. I Hope He’s Right.

Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic Senate nominee, vows challenge to Trump

Ted Cruz: Democrat El-Sayed's primary success part of Islamic 'takeover' of US

Democrat Hospital Chaplain May Become Michigan's First Transgender Lawmaker

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

AL-03 House winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

MI-01 House winner?