Prediction Edge
Democrat
Abdul El-Sayed

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Abdul El-Sayed is trading at 56% to win the Michigan Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysician

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age41 years old (Oct 31, 1984)

GenderMale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundPhysician

EducationUniversity of Michigan (BS)

Notable personal detailsAbdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed is an American physician and epidemiologist who served as executive director and health officer of the Detroit Health Department (2015–2017) and later as director of Wayne County, Michigan’s Department of Health, Human, and Veterans Services (2023–2025). He previously was an assistant professor of epidemiology at Columbia University and hosts the podcast "America Dissected". He ran for the Democratic nomination for governor of Michigan in 2018 and is running in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports taxing corporations and wealthy interests to fund expanded public investment and programs, including proposals for progressive payroll taxes and business gross-receipts or income-based levies to finance universal healthcare, infrastructure, and other public priorities.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and elimination of medical debt; advocates guaranteeing comprehensive, public health insurance for every American while also expanding targeted programs and debt relief.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports abolishing U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and has advocated for sanctuary-state policies and protections for immigrant communities. He frames ICE as a paramilitary force that should be dismantled rather than reformed and pledges to lead abolition efforts in the Senate.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports robust pro-choice policies and protection of abortion access, including advocating for Planned Parenthood and state-level measures to protect and expand reproductive health services. Has proposed repealing restrictive state laws that criminalize or limit abortion and said comprehensive family planning must include access to abortion care. Seeks to defend and codify protections for abortion access as part of broader reproductive justice and health-care policy.

Climate & Energy

Supports the Green New Deal framework and advocates for aggressive action on climate change tied to public-health and environmental-justice goals; has taken regulatory and enforcement actions against local polluters and promoted clean-air measures while in public-health roles. Campaign materials emphasize tackling pollution, removing lead, and investing in communities harmed by fossil-fuel emissions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning military-style assault weapons and expanding federal measures to reduce gun trafficking and close background-check loopholes; advocates for stronger federal gun-safety laws to reduce mass shootings and household gun-related harms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 17, 2026

Abdul El-Sayed has won the Michigan Democratic primary for U.S. Senate and will face Republican Mike Rogers in the general election. The race is already drawing heavy attention, with recent polls showing Rogers slightly ahead and both sides trading attacks as the campaign gets underway. El-Sayed has also faced criticism and anti-Muslim rhetoric after becoming the first Muslim nominated by the Democratic Party for Michigan’s Senate seat, while prominent progressives like Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Gavin Newsom have backed him.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
42.9%
Abdul El-Sayed
A. El-Sayed
Date (Start - End)SpreadEl-Sayed
Polling Average
42.9%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchAug 6 - 10
47.0%
GBAOAug 6 - 10
50.0%
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
43.0%
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
45.0%
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31
43.0%
SoCal StrategiesJul 28 - 30
41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
45.0%
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24
38.7%
Quantus InsightsJun 29 - 30
45.2%
Wedgewood PollsJun 25 - 28
49.0%
Data for ProgressJun 15 - 22
47.0%
Zenith ResearchJun 11 - 14
45.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
47.0%
Tulchin ResearchJun 2 - 4
46.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
40.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
43.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
41.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
39.8%
Emerson CollegeJan 24 - 25
42.5%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
41.6%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
38.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
31.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
40.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
40.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

23
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$14.5M
$10.9M
$7.3M
$3.6M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$14.5M
$2.6M
$12.0M
$629.6K

Source: FEC