2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
8hAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez is back at 14% after another sharp one-hour repricing, with fresh coverage this month keeping her 2028 prospects in focus and sustaining trader attention.

Democratic candidate for Presidential in New York
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is trading at 13% to win the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist
Age36 years old (Oct 13, 1989)
GenderFemale
LocationNew York
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationYorktown High School (2007)
Notable personal detailsAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez is a U.S. Representative from New York’s 14th congressional district, serving since January 3, 2019. She previously worked as a community organizer. She graduated from Yorktown High School (2007) and earned a B.A. from Boston University (2011).
Supports significantly higher taxes on the wealthy and on large corporations to fund major public investments and redistribution; has proposed or floated very high top marginal tax rates (e.g., 60–70% on the ultra-wealthy), advocated progressive wealth or transaction taxes, and backs measures raising corporate minimum tax revenue.
Supports Medicare for All and describes healthcare as a human right; backs H.R.1976 to create a single-payer system eliminating copays and premiums while expanding coverage to all. Has also discussed pragmatic pathways such as accepting incremental gains (e.g., public option) if full proposals face political constraints.
Supports restricting and dismantling current large-scale immigration enforcement (including calls to abolish or defund ICE), defends asylum access and immigrant due process, and criticizes harsh detention and deportation practices. Advocates for expanded protections and humanitarian treatment for migrants and oversight of enforcement actions.
Supports legal, accessible abortion care and federal protections for reproductive rights, including codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law and opposing federal funding restrictions like the Hyde Amendment. Has co-sponsored and voted for federal legislation to protect abortion access and has called for federal actions to preserve access in states with bans.
Supports an ambitious Green New Deal framework calling for a national mobilization to achieve rapid decarbonization, large-scale clean-energy investment, and creation of millions of green jobs; has sponsored Green New Deal resolutions and related legislation aiming to transition public housing and other sectors to zero-carbon. Advocates for aggressive emissions reductions, environmental justice for frontline communities, and federal investment to phase out fossil-fuel reliance in favor of renewable energy.
Supports expanded background checks, red flag laws, and limits on semiautomatic/assault weapons; backs criminal penalties for unlawful manufacture/transfer of such weapons. Endorses the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act (2022) measures that expanded background checks for younger buyers, encouraged state red flag laws, and funded school safety and mental-health programs.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is back at 14% after another sharp one-hour repricing, with fresh coverage this month keeping her 2028 prospects in focus and sustaining trader attention.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is in the news for saying she has not ruled out a 2028 run for president or the Senate seat held by Chuck Schumer, while stressing that her immediate focus is on the midterms. She also said she is freezing her eggs as she weighs her next political steps and discussed reproductive rights and the pressures women face in politics. Recent polling has kept her in the spotlight as an early Democratic favorite, even as one survey showed her national favorability slipping.
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.