$78.3M
NOV 7, 2028
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 31, 2026, 11:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
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Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Newsom said he would sit out the 2028 race if Kamala Harris runs, which could reduce a major Democratic clash. Separate reports say Harris is polling first in an early Democratic field. On the Republican side, JD Vance is emerging as a leading potential nominee, though he has not decided whether to run. Newsom’s conditional exit could narrow the Democratic field if Harris runs. On the Republican side, Vance’s rising profile may strengthen his standing, but the race remains unsettled.
Elon Musk warns a Democratic sweep in 2028 could create a permanent one-party state through statehood, immigration and Supreme Court expansion.
Whether either party wins or loses Tuesday, the end of the 2026 midterms marks the beginning of a high-stakes fight over the post-Trump era.
The nation’s major political parties are at a crossroads. Win or lose Tuesday, the end of the 2026 midterms marks the beginning of a high-stakes fight over the direction of the Republican and Democratic parties as the Trump era nears its end.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
