Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age62 years old (Jun 2, 1963)

GenderMale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundPolitician

EducationAdrian College (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsMichael J. Rogers is a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Michigan. He served in the U.S. House of Representatives for Michigan's 8th congressional district from 2001 to 2015, including as chair of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence from 2011 to 2015. He previously served in the Michigan Senate and worked as an FBI special agent after serving in the U.S. Army. After leaving Congress, he worked as a national security commentator for CNN.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax-cut and tax-advantaged measures for individuals and businesses, favors reducing federal spending and regulatory barriers, and has proposed expanding tax-advantaged 529-style accounts for first-time homebuyers. Has opposed Medicare drug price negotiation and backed Republican tax measures that critics say favor high-income earners. Advocates targeting federal spending and regulatory reductions to lower consumer costs and boost homeownership and business activity.

Healthcare

The candidate opposes the Affordable Care Act and has supported repealing or rolling back ACA provisions; he has backed proposals to introduce private-sector approaches to Medicare and supported policies that would cut or restructure Medicaid. His public materials emphasize market-based solutions, prescription drug cost reduction via private mechanisms, and support for reducing federal involvement in healthcare.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports enforcement-first border policies, including rebuilding physical barriers, reinstating the Remain in Mexico policy, restricting asylum by requiring applicants to start claims in their home country, and strengthening ICE/enforcement actions. He frames immigration as a national security and public-safety threat and endorses strong measures against cartels and criminal undocumented immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Historically he co-sponsored legislation to define life at conception and backed federal abortion restrictions, including a 20-week national ban and measures with few exceptions. During his recent campaign he has said he would not vote to overturn Michigan’s 2022 reproductive-rights amendment and has stated he would vote against a federal abortion ban, while also saying he is a pro‑life politician and would not walk away from that record.

Climate & Energy

Mike Rogers supports U.S. energy independence and an "all-of-the-above" energy approach that emphasizes American-made energy, reduced regulations on fossil-fuel development, and market-driven solutions. He has criticized federal EV mandates and opposed policies he says would force rapid electrification or harm Michigan manufacturing. His public statements prioritize energy reliability, affordability, and national-security concerns about dependence on foreign supply chains for batteries and critical minerals.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes many gun-safety restrictions and emphasizes mental-health and school-security solutions over new weapon bans; he highlights support for hunters/sportsmen and has received endorsements and favorable ratings from pro-gun groups.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 1, 2026

Mike Rogers is drawing attention in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race after new polls showed him with narrow leads or near ties against the leading Democratic contenders, though many voters remain undecided. He has also been attacking those Democratic rivals on the campaign trail, arguing they are out of step with Michigan voters and saying his campaign is focused on manufacturing and economic issues. Republicans are increasingly worried about the 2026 environment in Michigan, but Rogers has also said his campaign has strong backing, including a major investment from the Senate Leadership Fund.

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Polls

Mitchell Research & Communications
50%40%30%20%10%0%
42%
Mike Rogers
M. Rogers
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 7, 2026
42.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 7, 2026
43.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 7, 2026
42.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 1, 2026
42.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 1, 2026
44.7%
Emerson CollegeApr 13, 2026
55.2%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$13.2M
$9.9M
$6.6M
$3.3M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$13.2M
$254.7K
$13.0M
$541.4K

Cycle 2026

$7.6M
$4.2M
$3.7M
$244.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements