Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Mike Rogers

Overview

Current roleState Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age63 years old (Jun 2, 1963)

GenderMale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundPolitician

EducationAdrian College (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsMichael J. Rogers is a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Michigan. He served in the U.S. House of Representatives for Michigan's 8th congressional district from 2001 to 2015, including as chair of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence from 2011 to 2015. He previously served in the Michigan Senate and worked as an FBI special agent after serving in the U.S. Army. After leaving Congress, he worked as a national security commentator for CNN.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax-cut and tax-advantaged measures for individuals and businesses, favors reducing federal spending and regulatory barriers, and has proposed expanding tax-advantaged 529-style accounts for first-time homebuyers. Has opposed Medicare drug price negotiation and backed Republican tax measures that critics say favor high-income earners. Advocates targeting federal spending and regulatory reductions to lower consumer costs and boost homeownership and business activity.

Healthcare

The candidate opposes the Affordable Care Act and has supported repealing or rolling back ACA provisions; he has backed proposals to introduce private-sector approaches to Medicare and supported policies that would cut or restructure Medicaid. His public materials emphasize market-based solutions, prescription drug cost reduction via private mechanisms, and support for reducing federal involvement in healthcare.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports enforcement-first border policies, including rebuilding physical barriers, reinstating the Remain in Mexico policy, restricting asylum by requiring applicants to start claims in their home country, and strengthening ICE/enforcement actions. He frames immigration as a national security and public-safety threat and endorses strong measures against cartels and criminal undocumented immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Historically he co-sponsored legislation to define life at conception and backed federal abortion restrictions, including a 20-week national ban and measures with few exceptions. During his recent campaign he has said he would not vote to overturn Michigan’s 2022 reproductive-rights amendment and has stated he would vote against a federal abortion ban, while also saying he is a pro‑life politician and would not walk away from that record.

Climate & Energy

Mike Rogers supports U.S. energy independence and an "all-of-the-above" energy approach that emphasizes American-made energy, reduced regulations on fossil-fuel development, and market-driven solutions. He has criticized federal EV mandates and opposed policies he says would force rapid electrification or harm Michigan manufacturing. His public statements prioritize energy reliability, affordability, and national-security concerns about dependence on foreign supply chains for batteries and critical minerals.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes many gun-safety restrictions and emphasizes mental-health and school-security solutions over new weapon bans; he highlights support for hunters/sportsmen and has received endorsements and favorable ratings from pro-gun groups.

Latest Insights

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

13d

Donald Trump endorsed Mike Rogers, who is currently at 29%.

29%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mike Rogers is drawing attention in Michigan’s open 2026 U.S. Senate race, where new polls show him with narrow leads or near ties against the leading Democratic contenders. The race is still unsettled, with large numbers of undecided voters and a competitive Democratic primary. Rogers has also been attacking his Democratic rivals on the trail and saying his campaign is focused on manufacturing, skilled trades, and economic issues. Republicans are increasingly worried about the broader Michigan environment, but Rogers has said his campaign is well positioned.

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Polls

Quantus Insights
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.7%
Mike Rogers
M. Rogers
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Quantus InsightsJun 30, 2026
43.7%
Quantus InsightsJun 30, 2026
45.3%
Quantus InsightsJun 30, 2026
44.1%
Wedgewood PollsJun 28, 2026
46.0%
Data for ProgressJun 22, 2026
46.0%
Zenith ResearchJun 14, 2026
42.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

AL-03 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Mike Rogers for AL-03 Republican nominee?

Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Mike Rogers for the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race.

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Americans for Prosperity Action

Public endorsement

Americans for Prosperity Action launched grassroots efforts supporting Mike Rogers for U.S. Senate.

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John Thune

Public figure

John Thune endorsed Mike Rogers for U.S. Senate.

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Tim Scott

Public figure

Tim Scott endorsed Mike Rogers for U.S. Senate.

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Michigan state legislators

Public endorsement

Michigan state legislators endorsed Mike Rogers for U.S. Senate.

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Sentinel Action Fund

Political organization

Sentinel Action Fund backed Mike Rogers with a $15 million endorsement and support effort.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$13.2M
$9.9M
$6.6M
$3.3M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$13.2M
$254.7K
$13.0M
$541.4K

Cycle 2026

$7.7M
$4.3M
$3.7M
$245.2K

Source: FEC