$989.00
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$989
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The Supreme Court’s latest ruling opens the door for Alabama to replace its current congressional map before the May 19 primaries, which could materially reshape the state’s House lineup and the odds in AL-03 even though the district remains heavily Republican.
Alabama’s congressional primaries were held, but redistricting has pushed some House contests to August. The Supreme Court also paused a ruling that would have forced a different map, leaving the current lines in place for now. The changes are part of a broader Republican effort to protect the House majority. The current map and court rulings appear to improve Republican prospects in Alabama, though litigation keeps the outlook uncertain. That likely nudges the market toward Republicans, but with some legal risk still unresolved.
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana's congressional map, state senators on Thursday are to consider a plan that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the November midterm elections.
The remaking of the U.S. political map accelerated this week in courts and legislatures. Here's a look at where things stand.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
Alabama officials asked the Supreme Court to allow new congressional maps, hoping to take advantage of a high court ruling weakening voting rights.
Over his two decades on the Supreme Court, United States Chief Justice John Roberts had consistently played the long game.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faces a new round of questioning from lawmakers over the Iran war, including some Republicans who've expressed concerns
Missouri's top court is hearing an important legal challenge Tuesday to one of President Donald Trump's earliest redistricting successes while lawmakers in…
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
