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2026 Arizona State Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Arizona State Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Arizona State Senate winner?

$3.2K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

70.0%

R. Party

30.0%

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$3.2K

24h volume

D. Party70%

R. Party30%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest development is in South Carolina, where Lindsey Graham’s death reopened the Republican Senate nomination process. In Arizona, Republicans are holding their gubernatorial primary, but that is only an indirect signal for this chamber market. Graham’s death adds uncertainty to the South Carolina Senate race and could shift expectations around the GOP nominee. The Arizona items are more indirect for this chamber market and do not clearly change control odds.

Articles

NNNBC News6 days ago

Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican as running mate in re-election bid

Arizona’s Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs has chosen a former Republican as her running mate for her re-election bid this November.

ACArizona Capitol Times27 days ago

Biggs, Petersen lead GOP governor, AG primaries

Congressman Andy Biggs emerged as one of the big winners Tuesday night as Arizona Republicans chose nominees to face Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs and Attorney General Kris Mayes in November.

SSFGATE28 days ago

Arizona Republicans pick nominees Tuesday for governor and other top offices

Arizona Republicans are choosing nominees to challenge Democrats in key state offices. Candidates include U.S. Reps. Andy Biggs and David Schweikert, who are vying to take on Democratic Gov. Katie...

WWTOP6 days ago

Democratic Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican Mayor John Giles as her running mate

PHOENIX (AP) — Democratic Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs has picked a Republican-turned-independent to be her running mate in a tough reelection campaign…

PNPBS News1 month ago

Sen. Lindsey Graham dies after a 'brief and sudden illness,' his office says

The statement his office posted on social media did not provide any additional details about the South Carolina Republican, a former Air Force lawyer, and said his family “appreciates prayers at this time and asks for privacy during this incredibly difficult period.”

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News4 months ago

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Trump’s recent rallies in Arizona and Nevada highlight GOP efforts to secure an alternative route to White House

ATAmes Tribune3 days ago

Mark Kelly, headlining Iowa Wing Ding, takes on Trump and high costs

U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona, a potential 2028 hopeful, told a crowd of Iowa Democrats President Donald Trump is failing to improve their lives.

CNCable News Network27 days ago

Live results: Trump-backed Rep. Andy Biggs will win Arizona gubernatorial primary, CNN projects

Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state.

FNFox News27 days ago

Trump backs Andy Biggs in Arizona's GOP gubernatorial primary race

Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.

UTUSA TODAY27 days ago

Arizona Republicans vie for Trump mantle as top election official

Voting rights advocates closely watch Arizona's race for secretary of state, as lead candidate supports Trump's rejection of 2020 election results.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements
Fundraising

2026 Arizona State Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Arizona State Senate winner?

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican as running mate in re-election bid

Biggs, Petersen lead GOP governor, AG primaries

Arizona Republicans pick nominees Tuesday for governor and other top offices

Democratic Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican Mayor John Giles as her running mate

Sen. Lindsey Graham dies after a 'brief and sudden illness,' his office says

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Mark Kelly, headlining Iowa Wing Ding, takes on Trump and high costs

Live results: Trump-backed Rep. Andy Biggs will win Arizona gubernatorial primary, CNN projects

Trump backs Andy Biggs in Arizona's GOP gubernatorial primary race

Arizona Republicans vie for Trump mantle as top election official

Related Races

Arizona Governor winner?

AZ-05 House winner?

AZ-06 House winner?

AZ-01 House winner?

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican as running mate in re-election bid

Biggs, Petersen lead GOP governor, AG primaries

Arizona Republicans pick nominees Tuesday for governor and other top offices

Democratic Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican Mayor John Giles as her running mate

Sen. Lindsey Graham dies after a 'brief and sudden illness,' his office says

Here’s where TPUSA wants to build the ‘Red Wall’

Mark Kelly, headlining Iowa Wing Ding, takes on Trump and high costs

Live results: Trump-backed Rep. Andy Biggs will win Arizona gubernatorial primary, CNN projects

Trump backs Andy Biggs in Arizona's GOP gubernatorial primary race

Arizona Republicans vie for Trump mantle as top election official

Related Races

Arizona Governor winner?

AZ-05 House winner?

AZ-06 House winner?

AZ-01 House winner?