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MAY 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Donald Trump backed Jon Bonck for "TX-38 Republican nominee?" Jon Bonck is currently at 97%.
The C Club of Houston publicly endorsed Shelly deZevallos, adding another local business-world backing in the TX-38 GOP contest. Her contract was already off a recent low and spiked to 10%, so this is a trader-relevant signal that her outsider path is still getting incremental support.
Trump-backed candidates in Texas advanced to May runoff elections, while some won outright. In the Texas Republican primary, Paxton led in polls and a runoff was expected if no one topped 50%. Early voting also showed higher Democratic turnout than in previous cycles. The runoff setup keeps the race uncertain and may extend the contest. Paxton’s polling lead is a positive sign for him, but the broader Texas GOP runoff picture remains unsettled.
Donald Trump endorsed more than 130 candidates in Texas Republican primaries. See who made the runoff — and who Trump has and hasn't backed.
Voting ends on March 3 in Texas Congressional primary race. Here's what to know about the Republican race.
The last time former Rep. and South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford went up against President Donald Trump, it didn't end well for him.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Houston Chronicle editorial board
Houston Chronicle editorial board endorsed Larry Rubin in the Republican primary for Texas's 38th Congressional District.
J. BonckJon BonckS. DeZevallosShelly DeZevallosL. RubinLarry RubinM. PrattMichael Pratt
J. YunaJeff Yuna
C. GoralskiCraig Goralski
A. AyersAvery AyersSource: FEC
