$49.6K
JUN 23, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 23, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
Total volume
$49.6K
24h volume
$1.4K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $264.8K | |
| 2% | — | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | $10.0K | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The main new development is a profile of Jeanine Driscoll, who is running for the NY-04 Republican nomination. She is one of several announced candidates, and recent coverage suggests the field is still taking shape. There is no clear sign yet of a dominant favorite. The race still looks early and candidate field details may matter more than momentum right now. Driscoll’s profile adds another named contender, but the summaries do not show a clear frontrunner.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
GOP congressional candidates discuss COVID response, childcare access, reproductive health care funding.
Republicans hold few competitive seats in New York, which makes each district a possibly critical pickup to expand the slim House majority.
The race was widely viewed as a referendum on Donald Trump. It was also a test of the pro-Israel lobby's power.
Patch asked Jeanine Driscoll several questions ahead of the Republican primary in New York's 4th district. Here are her responses.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
The president openly solicited contenders to primary Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) after she campaigned for Trump-foe Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.).
Representative Thomas Massie is slipping in a new poll as he fights for the Republican nomination in Kentucky’s 4th District.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. DriscollJeanine Driscoll
M. WilliamsMarvin Suber Williams
A. D’EspositoAnthony D’Esposito
D. McGrathDennis McGrath
M. SmithmyerMartin Smithmyer
M. MandelMichael MandelSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
