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Who will win the 2026 Minnesota District 2 US House Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 85 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

MN-02 Democratic nominee?

$24.4K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$24.4K

24h volume

$830

M. Little74%

M. Klein16%

K. Berg12%

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source: Kalshi

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Minnesota 2026 primary

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Latest Insights

Matt Little

24H69%

Little’s endorsement by district DFL delegates is a concrete new development in the open-seat primary, and it reinforces his frontrunner status in a race that still has Klein and Berg on the ballot.

Matt Little

6%24H79%

Matt Little's odds reached 79%, topping the previous high of 73%.

10d

Kaela Berg

5%24H9%

Kaela Berg's odds fell below her previous low of 14%, setting a new low in the MN-02 Democratic nominee race.

11d

News

AINews Summary

The main Minnesota-specific update is that Matt Klein admitted betting on himself in the MN-02 Democratic primary and was fined and suspended by Kalshi. Separately, Ilhan Omar won the DFL endorsement in Minnesota's 5th District, but that is a different race. The MN-02 nominee market gets little direct new information on candidate strength, but the Kalshi enforcement news may add some noise around trading activity. Overall, the effect on nomination odds looks limited from these summaries.

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F9FOX 98 days ago

Ilhan Omar, Matt Little secure DFL party endorsements, what this means for races

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BNBreitbart News Network26 days ago

Kalshi Suspends 3 Congressional Candidates for Betting on Their Own Campaigns

Prediction market platform Kalshi announced Wednesday that it has suspended three congressional candidates and imposed financial penalties after they were caught trading on their own election campaigns in violation of the platform's rules.