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AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
The biggest development is a court-ordered new Utah congressional map that creates a Democratic-leaning district in Salt Lake County. The article says it could make Utah’s 1st District more competitive, while the 3rd District remains part of the broader redistricting debate. It does not provide new information on the Missouri 3rd District Republican nomination. Little direct impact on this Missouri GOP nomination market. The news is about Utah redistricting and does not appear to change the Missouri 3rd District contest.
How Utah’s redistricting fight echoes a nationwide battle over congressional representation
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
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