$13.7K
AUG 11, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 23, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | $14.6K | |
| 2% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Primary results were reported in Connecticut, but the summaries do not identify a Republican nominee for the 3rd district. The coverage is mostly a broader roundup of primaries in several states. No clear CT-03-specific shift is reported. These updates do not provide a clear signal on the CT-03 Republican nomination. Market uncertainty likely remains unchanged based on the available summaries.
The Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin was neck-and-neck early Wednesday morning, with democratic socialist state lawmaker Francesca Hong and moderate Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley separated by less than a percentage point.
Primary elections are taking place in six U.S. states — Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina, Vermont and Wisconsin. Progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has won Minnesota’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary over centrist U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the latest moderate-vs.-progressive contest in the Democratic Party. In the race for governor, state House Speaker Lisa Demuth has won the GOP primary despite President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Mike Lindell, known as the MyPillow Guy. Sen. Amy Klobuchar has earned the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition. Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor is another clash between the party’s establishment and progressive wings, as democratic socialist Francesca Hong tries to rise above establishment candidate David Crowley.
Primary elections are taking place in six U.S. states — Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina, Vermont and Wisconsin.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
C. LanciaChristopher LanciaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
