Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Connecticut House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
CT-01 House winner?
$6.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $3.07M | |
| 1% | $20.8K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$6.5K
24h volume
$33
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Connecticut 1st District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: John B. Larson (D)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 11, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Luke Bronin upset longtime Rep. John Larson in the Connecticut-1 Democratic primary, taking about 54% of the vote. Bronin had also won the party endorsement earlier, and the primary field included Ruth Fortune and Jillian Gilchrest. The result changes the Democratic nominee, but not the district’s underlying partisan lean. Bronin’s primary win likely shifts the Democratic nomination to a new candidate, but the district remains the same party’s to lose. The general-election market impact is probably limited unless the nominee change alters turnout or crossover support.
Articles
HCHartford Courant4 months ago
There are 18 primaries in CT on Aug. 11. What to know
18 primaries coming up on August 11 for governor, Congress, state legislature, and more
TBThe Boston Globe6 months ago
What Graham Platner means for the Democratic Party
We asked our three writers: Is Platner just what the Democratic Party needs right now to take back the Senate? Or is he a disaster-in-waiting for the party?
NYNew York Post13 hours ago
An hour-by-hour guide on how to watch
Tuesday will finally end months of speculation and reveal which party will control Congress for the next two years, setting the tone for President Trump's lame-duck years in the White House.
CNCable News Network3 months ago
Another Democratic nail-biter in Wisconsin and other takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries
The Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin was neck-and-neck early Wednesday morning, with democratic socialist state lawmaker Francesca Hong and moderate Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley separated by less than a percentage point.
TBThe Boston Globe5 months ago
Defying Trump ended some Republicans’ careers. It could help Susan Collins.
Collins is seeking her sixth term with sky-high name recognition, a record-breaking run of consecutive Senate votes, and a history of bringing back federal funding for her state for years.
HCHartford Courant6 months ago
It's time for moral courage and taking a stand
AIPAC has been writing checks to sustain that corruption, donating to members of Congress to guarantee nothing changes.
NNewsweek6 months ago
Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
NBNBC10 Boston1 day ago
What's at stake in all 6 New England states on Election Day?
All eyes are on New England as voters prepare to head to the polls Tuesday. High-stakes U.S. Senate and governor's races, along with controversial ballot...
HCHartford Courant4 months ago
Ruth Fortune qualifies for 4-way congressional primary
Ruth Fortune secured a spot on the Democratic primary ballot for Connecticut's 1st Congressional District on Monday.
NBNBC10 Boston6 months ago
Former Hartford mayor Luke Bronin wins Democratic endorsement over CT Rep. Larson
Former Hartford mayor Luke Bronin has officially won the Democratic endorsement for the CT-01 primary. He defeated 28-year incumbent Rep. John Larson, who has...
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 22, 2026$5M
$3.8M
$2.5M
$1.3M
$0
L. Bronin
A. Chai
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
L. BroninLuke Bronin$3.07MContrib: $3.07M
$600.9KSpent: $2.47M
$130.0KLast period: $168.2K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026
A. ChaiAmy Chai$20.8KContrib: $4.8K
$344Spent: $16.2K
$902Last period: $2.9K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
CT-01 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for CT-01?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:24 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for CT-01?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:24 AM UTC