$45.0K
AUG 11, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 23, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.29M | |
| 2% | — | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Connecticut’s primary has already taken place, and the 5th District drew more votes than the 4th. Turnout was modest overall, and the summaries do not yet name the Democratic nominee for CT-05. The turnout data may signal stronger interest in the 5th District race, but it does not identify a nominee. With no reported CT-05 result, the market remains uncertain.
Get live updates and the latest news as Karoline Leavitt says she will depart as Trump’s White House press secretary and Tuesday’s primaries reveal Democratic divisions.
Controversial GOP candidate loses primary, but doubles down for Congress in 2028
Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin ousted U.S. Rep. John Larson, who had held his seat for nearly 30 years.
So far 10 incumbent U.S. House lawmakers have lost their primaries while running in the 2026 election cycle, including three Republicans and seven Democrats.
Ben Proto, chairman of the Connecticut Republican Party, said about 15 people from the state are attending.
Most towns saw a decrease in Democratic turnout compared to 2018, but not towns with competitive Congressional or state Democratic primaries
Connecticut residents will head to the polls on Aug. 11 to cast ballots in party primaries for governor, U.S. Congress and state legislative and constitutional races.
Younger Democrats in the Bay State are trying to oust incumbents in the Democratic primary, especially in the high-profile Senate race.
Connecticut Democrats face a choice between U.S. Rep. John Larson and younger challengers for the 1st Congressional District.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. HayesJahana HayesSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
