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Who will win the 2026 Louisiana District 2 US House Democratic Primary?

Nov 3, 2027, 3:00pm UTC, in 529 daysLast updated: May 23, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC

LA-02 Democratic nominee?

$4.8K

NOV 3, 2027

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$4.8K

24h volume

T. Carter20%

R. Collins4%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

SAT 27

Louisiana 2026 primary runoff, if required

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Troy Carter

77%24H20%

This is a fresh low for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?", breaking below the prior 97% extreme.

10h

Troy Carter

83%24H14%

Troy Carter's odds are now 14%, below the prior low of 97% over the last 18 days.

Troy Carter

82%24H15%

Troy Carter's odds are now 15%, past the previous low of 97%.

News

AINews Summary

Louisiana’s congressional map moved forward with only minor tweaks, and the 2nd District was left largely intact. The broader redistricting fight is still unresolved, so the district lines could still change before final approval. The map update appears to leave the district setup mostly unchanged, so it may not move the nomination race much. Overall, the market impact looks limited and uncertain.

Articles

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press5 days ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution4 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

NNNBC News10 days ago

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.

WEWashington Examiner15 days ago

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit5 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.

AAL.com22 hours ago

Judges question if Alabama’s ‘aggressive’ timeline for special elections is even possible

Alabama plans to change voting maps, shift voters to new districts and hold new special primaries on Aug. 11.

BRBaton Rouge Advocate2 days ago

New Louisiana congressional map advances with some tweaks

A Louisiana House committee advanced an updated congressional map after hours of testimony opposing it. Now a fight could be brewing amongst Republican legislators over how to draw the lines.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

T. Carter

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

T. CarterTroy Carter

$1.10MContrib: $1.06M

$433.0KSpent: $1.17M

$78.3KLast period: $193.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Louisiana District 2 US House Democratic Primary?

LA-02 Democratic nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Troy Carter

Troy Carter

Troy Carter

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Judges question if Alabama’s ‘aggressive’ timeline for special elections is even possible

New Louisiana congressional map advances with some tweaks

Fundraising

Related races

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

LA-01 Republican nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

LA-06 House winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Troy Carter

Troy Carter

Troy Carter

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Judges question if Alabama’s ‘aggressive’ timeline for special elections is even possible

New Louisiana congressional map advances with some tweaks

Fundraising

Related races

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

LA-01 Republican nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

LA-06 House winner?