$69.5K
MAY 16, 2026
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 2% | — | |
| 1% | $142.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is that Louisiana House votes will not count after the Supreme Court ruled the congressional map unconstitutional. Early voting had already started before the election was suspended too late to change the machines. Broader House analysis shows some movement toward Democrats, but nothing here points to a clear LA-01 nominee shift. The map ruling adds major uncertainty around Louisiana House contests, but the summaries do not identify a clear nominee favorite in LA-01. Broader House trends are mildly favorable to Democrats, though the effect on this nomination market is indirect.
Voters in four of Alabama’s seven congressional districts will select U.S. House nominees Tuesday under a new map that eliminates one of the state’s two majority-Black districts currently represented by Democrats.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
The five-term congressman should be and probably is a shoo-in for reelection but he's being challenged in his own party by two rivals.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
L. JewettLauren JewettSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
