$535.09
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
House Republicans are narrowing their 2026 strategy around a few competitive districts and possible redistricting gains. The latest coverage mentions Alabama as one place where new lines could help, but it does not give any Arizona-specific race update. The news is mostly about national House strategy, so it likely has little direct effect on this district market. It may slightly reinforce Republican confidence in holding the chamber, but it does not change the Arizona race itself.
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
Ads produced by a Trump-aligned group attacked former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez. They displayed photos of his former VP.
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
By David Wright, Tami Luhby, CNN (CNN) — President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the nation’s founding on July Fourth with a speech touting a roaring stock market, urging election reforms, and hailing military interventions in Venezuela and Iran. But another anniversary went conspicuously unmarked: the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill
The development comes after Cook Political Report shifted dozens of other races in both the House and Senate toward Democrats this year.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
Trump-aligned PACs are pouring hundreds of millions into House and Senate races as Republicans defend an expanding midterm election battleground map.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
Y. AnsariYassamin AnsariSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
