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Who will win the 2026 Louisiana District 3 US House Democratic Primary?

Nov 3, 2027, 3:00pm UTC, in 521 daysLast updated: Jun 1, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

$23.7K

NOV 3, 2027

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$23.7K

24h volume

J. Day2%

T. LeBrun1%

C. Walker1%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

SAT 27

Louisiana 2026 primary runoff, if required

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Tia LeBrun

24H8%

Tia LeBrun is now the front-runner for the LA-03 Democratic nominee spot, with an 8% reading and a 6.0-point lead.

John Day

8%24H55%

John Day's odds are now 55%, above the previous high of 47%.

11d

Louisiana shifts congressional races to November

24H

Louisiana signed legislation moving U.S. House races, including LA-03, out of the May 16 primary calendar and into a November open primary with December runoff. That resets the timing for this nominee market and can change when traders expect new information to matter.

16d

News

AINews Summary

The biggest Louisiana-related development is the Supreme Court striking down the state’s majority-Black congressional district. That ruling could affect future redistricting and House control. No new reporting here changes the Democratic nomination picture in Louisiana’s 3rd District. The Louisiana ruling could add uncertainty around district lines and the nomination landscape, but the direct effect on this Democratic nomination market is unclear from the reports provided.

Articles

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press13 days ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

WEWashington Examiner24 days ago

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat12 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution12 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review26 days ago

Chief Justice John Roberts says Supreme Court is not political

HERSHEY — Supreme Court justices are not “political actors,” Chief Justice John Roberts said Wednesday, insisting unpopular court decisions are based solely on the law. “I think, at a very basic level, people think we’re making policy decisions, we’re saying we think this is how things should be, as opposed

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit14 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.

NNPR14 days ago

Here are the states voting on Tuesday : NPR

Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Apr 26, 2026

$10K

$7.5K

$5K

$2.5K

T. LeBrun

J. Day

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

T. LeBrunTia LeBrun

$6.0KContrib: $3.7K

$4.8KSpent: $1.8K

$114Last period: $150

PRE-PRIMARY · Apr 26, 2026

J. DayJohn Day

$5.0KContrib: $50

$3.6KSpent: $4.4K

$291Last period: $50

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 Louisiana District 3 US House Democratic Primary?

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

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