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Who will win the 2026 Louisiana District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

Nov 3, 2027, 3:00pm UTC, in 521 daysLast updated: Jun 1, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC

LA-01 Republican nominee?

$101.4K

NOV 3, 2027

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Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$101.4K

24h volume

$691

S. Scalise11%

R. Arrington2%

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source: Kalshi

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June

SAT 27

Louisiana 2026 primary runoff, if required

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Steve Scalise

85%24H11%

Steve Scalise's odds fell to 11%, breaking the previous low of 96% for "LA-01 Republican nominee?"

Louisiana lawmakers approved a new congressional map on Friday, and Steve Scalise’s LA-01 Republican nominee odds are back at 14% after trading near 8% earlier this week. Traders should watch for more repricing if the map clears the remaining steps or if the primary timetable shifts again.

Steve Scalise

6%24H14%

Louisiana lawmakers passed a new congressional map Friday, reviving the redistricting fight and keeping Steve Scalise’s LA-01 Republican nominee market volatile after his odds rebounded to 14%.

News

AINews Summary

Julia Letlow remains the front-runner in Louisiana’s Republican Senate runoff after leading the primary and winning Trump’s endorsement. John Fleming is trying to narrow the gap by pressing for debates and pointing to a poll showing a closer race. Recent coverage also highlights Trump’s influence in Louisiana GOP contests. Letlow’s lead and Trump endorsement likely strengthen her position, but Fleming’s push and claims of a tighter race keep some uncertainty in the market.

Articles

NNPR19 hours ago

Iowa's red state status in question with competitive midterms : NPR

Iowa is no stranger to political attention in presidential elections, but surprisingly competitive midterm contests highlight the state's importance for both parties as it holds its primary Tuesday.

DFDetroit Free Press9 days ago

U.S. Rep. Jack Bergman faces a primary and an ethics complaint

The five-term congressman should be and probably is a shoo-in for reelection but he's being challenged in his own party by two rivals.

CNCable News Network5 days ago

John Cornyn’s defeat raises a new question: Will he join the Senate Republicans rebelling against Trump?

Sen. John Cornyn’s landslide defeat Tuesday immediately raised a pressing question for his GOP colleagues: Will he join the ranks of other Republicans recently vanquished by President Donald Trump and begin bucking the president more?

BRBaton Rouge Advocate10 days ago

Julia Letlow is favored to be Louisiana’s next senator

U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow is vying for the Republican Senate nomination in Louisiana against state Treasurer John Fleming, while farmer Jamie Davis faces off against business owner Gary Crockett

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit6 days ago

Cornyn tries to hold on to Texas Senate seat in runoff with Paxton, the latest test of Trump's power

Texans are choosing a Republican nominee for U.S. Senate.

TAThe Associated Press7 days ago

What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff

Texas voters will pick a Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday. U.S. Sen.

UNU.S. News & World Report7 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in the Texas US Senate Republican Primary Runoff

WASHINGTON (AP) — Voters in the Lone Star State will make their second attempt to nominate a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday, the electoral version of the Texas two-step.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press13 days ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

S. Scalise

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

S. ScaliseSteve Scalise

$9.32MContrib: $1.24M

$5.68MSpent: $7.78M

$518.3KLast period: $321.2K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 Louisiana District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

LA-01 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

News

Iowa's red state status in question with competitive midterms : NPR

U.S. Rep. Jack Bergman faces a primary and an ethics complaint

John Cornyn’s defeat raises a new question: Will he join the Senate Republicans rebelling against Trump?

Julia Letlow is favored to be Louisiana’s next senator

Cornyn tries to hold on to Texas Senate seat in runoff with Paxton, the latest test of Trump's power

What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in the Texas US Senate Republican Primary Runoff

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Fundraising

Related races

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

LA-06 House winner?

LA-02 House winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

News

Iowa's red state status in question with competitive midterms : NPR

U.S. Rep. Jack Bergman faces a primary and an ethics complaint

John Cornyn’s defeat raises a new question: Will he join the Senate Republicans rebelling against Trump?

Julia Letlow is favored to be Louisiana’s next senator

Cornyn tries to hold on to Texas Senate seat in runoff with Paxton, the latest test of Trump's power

What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in the Texas US Senate Republican Primary Runoff

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Fundraising

Related races

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

LA-06 House winner?

LA-02 House winner?