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2026 Louisiana Republican House Primary Results

Name: 2026 Louisiana Republican House Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: May 16, 2026Market closes: Nov 3, 11:00am ET (Nov 3, 3:00pm UTC)

LA-04 Republican nominee?

$42.0K

MAY 16, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 24, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Mike Johnson	6%	$20.98M
Josh Morott	4%	—
Mike Nichols	2%	$49.8K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 24, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$42.0K

24h volume

$123

M. Johnson6%

J. Morott4%

M. Nichols2%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

November

WED 3

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

LA-04 Republican nominee?

This is a fresh low for Mike Johnson in the LA-04 Republican nominee race, breaking below the prior low of 97%.

9%88%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Louisiana has a new congressional map after the Supreme Court struck down the old one, and the revised plan is expected to favor Republicans. Qualifying has also closed, so the candidate field is now set for the November election. Further legal challenges could still affect the map. The new map likely improves the Republican environment overall, but it does not by itself settle this nomination market. With qualifying closed, uncertainty should narrow around the final GOP field.

Articles

NYNew York Post3 months ago

Rep. Thomas Massie ousted in Kentucky by Trump-backed Ed Gallrein

The contest for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District will go down as the most expensive primary race in US history, with more than $32 million spent on political ads, according to the firm AdImpact.

NNNBC News3 months ago

Trump-endorsed Ed Gallrein unseats Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky GOP primary

Former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein has won the Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District over Rep. Thomas Massie.

FNFox News3 months ago

Trump owns the GOP. Could Republicans pay the price in the midterms?

Trump touted a 37-0 record in Tuesday's GOP primaries, including Ed Gallrein's ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's closely watched congressional race.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

TAThe Associated Press3 months ago

Massie betting Republican voters will ignore Trump's attacks in Kentucky primary

President Donald Trump is trying to oust one of his own party’s most independent voices: Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie.

FNFox News4 months ago

Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins

President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.

PPOLITICO4 months ago

It's showtime for Trump's revenge tour. Will he win?

So far, his chosen candidates in several May primaries are struggling to dominate their fields.

WWBRZ17 days ago

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

WWBRZ18 days ago

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

BRBaton Rouge Advocate3 months ago

U.S. Speaker Mike Johnson defends Louisiana redistricting

U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke Thursday about Louisiana's new congressional map that Gov. Jeff Landry ultimately approved on Friday after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision.

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 19, 2026

$25M

$18.8M

$12.5M

$6.3M

M. Johnson

M. Nichols

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. JohnsonMike Johnson

$20.98MContrib: $14.08M

$9.61MSpent: $12.62M

$664.0KLast period: $424.5K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 18, 2026

M. NicholsMike Nichols

$49.8KContrib: $7.9K

$3Spent: $46.2K

$2.4KLast period: $730

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 19, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

2026 Louisiana Republican House Primary Results

LA-04 Republican nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

LA-04 Republican nominee?

Latest Election News

Rep. Thomas Massie ousted in Kentucky by Trump-backed Ed Gallrein

Trump-endorsed Ed Gallrein unseats Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky GOP primary

Trump owns the GOP. Could Republicans pay the price in the midterms?

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Massie betting Republican voters will ignore Trump's attacks in Kentucky primary

Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins

It's showtime for Trump's revenge tour. Will he win?

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

U.S. Speaker Mike Johnson defends Louisiana redistricting

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

LA-01 Republican nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

LA-05 Republican nominee?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

LA-04 Republican nominee?

Latest Election News

Rep. Thomas Massie ousted in Kentucky by Trump-backed Ed Gallrein

Trump-endorsed Ed Gallrein unseats Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky GOP primary

Trump owns the GOP. Could Republicans pay the price in the midterms?

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Massie betting Republican voters will ignore Trump's attacks in Kentucky primary

Trump targets Sen. Cassidy and Rep. Massie after Indiana primary wins

It's showtime for Trump's revenge tour. Will he win?

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

U.S. Speaker Mike Johnson defends Louisiana redistricting

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

LA-01 Republican nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

LA-05 Republican nominee?