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NOV 3, 2027Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Ed Gallrein has been projected to beat Rep. Thomas Massie in the Kentucky 4th District Republican primary. AP called the race narrowly, and the market will resolve on the certified result. Separately, Louisiana approved a new GOP-friendlier congressional map, but that is only indirect context for this event. Gallrein’s projected win likely shifts the nomination market sharply toward him, though certification still matters. The Louisiana map news is broader context and does not directly change this nomination race.
The contest for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District will go down as the most expensive primary race in US history, with more than $32 million spent on political ads, according to the firm AdImpact.
Former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein has won the Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District over Rep. Thomas Massie.
Trump touted a 37-0 record in Tuesday's GOP primaries, including Ed Gallrein's ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's closely watched congressional race.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump is trying to oust one of his own party’s most independent voices: Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
So far, his chosen candidates in several May primaries are struggling to dominate their fields.
U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke Thursday about Louisiana's new congressional map that Gov. Jeff Landry ultimately approved on Friday after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
M. JohnsonMike Johnson
M. NicholsMike NicholsSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
