$931.9K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 2:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | $5.83M | |
| 5% | $747.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ilhan Omar is facing multiple DFL challengers in Minnesota’s 5th District primary. She also reports a large fundraising advantage and is centering her campaign on opposition to Trump’s immigration crackdown. The update raises primary attention, but it does not clearly change the general-election party outlook. The primary challenge adds some uncertainty, but Omar’s cash edge suggests she remains the clear favorite. The news does not yet point to a major shift in the district’s party outcome.
Minnesota Democrats will decide a competitive U.S. Senate primary Tuesday in another face-off between moderate and progressive candidates that could define the party’s identity heading into the...
Reality shows are an escape with characters who can be larger than life. But some stars use the experience of fame as a stepping stone toward another challenge: running for political office.
California is one of the most heavily Democratic states in the country. But in a U.S. House district southeast of Los Angeles, the campaign is being shaped by a different dynamic: Two sitting GOP lawmakers are duking it out over who is most loyal to Trump.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
A partisan redistricting battle among states has accelerated ahead of the midterm elections. This comes after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that weakened the federal Voting Rights Act and opened the way for states to eliminate voting districts drawn for racial minorities.
At least 220 ads— mostly Republican— generated or enhanced with artificial intelligence have circulated in the leadup to the midterms, at a cost of almost $137 million.
Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.
News outlets keep describing the Democratic Party rift between moderates and progressives as a "civil war," but Democrats need to recenter themselves around American values.
In the past few years one of the fiercest primary battles has been in the 5th Congressional District. That seat has been held since 2018 by Minnesota
Bajun Mavalwalla’s son isn’t the entire reason he’s running for Congress, but his son is certainly why the retired Army combat veteran decided to stop running other people’s campaigns and launch his own.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
I. OmarIlhan Omar
J. NagelJohn NagelSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
