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AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
The main item is a South Carolina redistricting bill that could redraw the 6th District, but it is not about Missouri’s 6th District nomination. Another profile on Hakeem Jeffries does not add any nomination news. Overall, there is no clear new development for this market. The redistricting story is only loosely related to this market and does not directly affect the Missouri 6th District Democratic nomination. Overall, the news looks neutral for odds and adds little new information.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Retired historian Michael Allen says proposed congressional redistricting changes are not simply administrative adjustments; they represent a dangerous shift in the trajectory of our democracy.
J. SmeadJosh SmeadSource: FEC
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