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AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
The biggest update is a Supreme Court decision leaving in place limits on private enforcement of Voting Rights Act Section 208. That could reduce future voting-rights lawsuits in the 8th Circuit. A separate Hakeem Jeffries profile does not appear relevant to this race. Little direct impact on the Republican nomination market. The voting-rights ruling could affect future election litigation, but it does not change the current nomination contest.
The Supreme Court let an appeals court ruling stand that prevents private groups from enforcing a section of the Voting Rights Act regarding disabled voters.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
J. SmithJason T. Smith
G. HeslopGordon HeslopSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
