Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Nevada House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsFunds raised
95%$3.86M
7%$4.06M

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$25.5K

24h volume

$1.4K

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Nevada 3rd District · US House

Lean DemocraticDemocraticDistrict contextCompetitive House rating

Race Rating

Lean Democratic

Cook/270toWin 2026

Partisan lean: Democratic

Seat Dynamics

Incumbent defense

Incumbent: Susie Lee (D)

Election Rules

Primary Jun 9, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Why it matters

The district is rated Lean Democratic, so turnout and late-cycle spending may have outsized effects.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Nevada 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Nevada's 3rd District remains a key battleground in the 2026 House map. Democrats are defending Susie Lee's seat, and the district's voter makeup suggests another close race. The latest updates reinforce that this seat is competitive rather than safe for either party. The balance still appears to slightly favor Democrats, but the narrow margins keep uncertainty high.

Articles
MJMother Jones2 days ago

On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms

2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.

PNPBS News5 days ago

Mapping the battle for control of the House

As candidates make a final push to win over voters ahead of Election Day, Lisa Desjardins takes a deep dive into the battle for the House of Representatives.

RGReno Gazette-Journal13 days ago

President Trump calls Benitez-Thompson 'crazy' in Nevada House race

President Donald Trump called Democratic candidate Teresa Benitez-Thompson “crazy" in her Nevada US House race against Republican David Flippo.

HCHartford Courant1 month ago

Republicans target Vegas district with Trump's 'no tax on tips' policy

In Nevada's most competitive congressional district, Democratic Rep. Susie Lee is fending off a challenge from Republican Marty O'Donnell.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat4 months ago

Gavin Newsom: Democrats must ‘demand the fight’ for Senate control post-Platner

Gov. Gavin Newsom reiterated past remarks that Democrats nationwide need to be more pugnacious as the party casts about for a replacement to Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, who dropped out Wednesday after an ex-girlfriend accused him of sexual assault.

WEWashington Examiner5 months ago

backed Nevada candidate could help Democrats

Amodei's chosen political heir, James Settelmeyer, lost to Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran David Flippo on Tuesday.

PNPBS News5 months ago

GOP primary for U.S. House seat and Democratic governors race among Nevada's key contests

Nevadans are choosing their party nominees Tuesday for two closely watched congressional seats and the governor’s race, among others, as the state grapples with an affordable housing shortage, exploding energy demand from data centers and federal cuts to key state programs.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat5 months ago

Jared Huffman treads new and familiar political ground in bid for redrawn Northern California seat in Congress

From searching for solutions to predatory wolves to defending his role in the controversial Point Reyes settlement, Huffman is toiling to earn an 8th term in Congress, representing a revamped district.

FNFox News15 hours ago

Election Day 2026 polls open with House and Senate control at stake

Election Day 2026 midterm elections determine control of the House and Senate as Republicans defend slim majorities. Donald Trump predicts a GOP hold despite polls favoring Democrats.

Latest Polls

RedBox Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49.4%
41.7%
Susie Lee
S. Lee
Martin O'Donnell
M. O'Donnell
Date (Start - End)SpreadLeeO'Donnell
RedBox ResearchOct 20 - 23
Lee+7.7
49.4%41.7%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$5M
$3.8M
$2.5M
$1.3M
$0
M. O'Donnell
S. Lee
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Martin O'DonnellM. O'Donnell
$4.06MContrib: $641.2K
$2.41MSpent: $1.65M
$91.4KLast period: $380.6K
TERMINATION REPORT · Jun 30, 2026
Susie LeeS. Lee
$3.86MContrib: $3.65M
$3.31MSpent: $1.02M
$59.9KLast period: $338.9K
PRE-PRIMARY · May 20, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

NV-03 House winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Susie Lee

    Will Democratic win the House race for NV-3?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:26 AM UTC

  • Martin O'Donnell

    Will Republican win the House race for NV-3?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:26 AM UTC