Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 New Jersey House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
NJ-01 House winner?
$3.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.66M | |
| 1% | $11.1K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$3.7K
24h volume
$448
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
New Jersey 1st District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Donald Norcross (D)
Election Rules
Primary Jun 2, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The biggest recent redistricting news is in North Carolina, where Republicans passed a map that makes the 1st District more favorable to them. Other coverage is mostly about primaries and competitive House seats elsewhere, with no direct result or major new development for New Jersey’s 1st District. The market still looks driven by broader 2026 House conditions rather than district-specific news. The redistricting news could modestly improve Republican prospects in similar House races, but there is no direct evidence here on New Jersey’s 1st District. Overall, the impact on this market looks limited and uncertain.
Articles
NNewsmax5 months ago
Rep. Miller-Meeks to Newsmax: Iowa Voters Will Reject Dems' Push
They're out for bear, the Iowa Republican said on Newsmax's Wake Up America. They've had major losses, and now they want to swing for the fences. But our supporters will be energized and motivated, too.
NNewsweek3 months ago
10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
CPCharleston Post and Courier4 months ago
Settlement reached in Widowmaker case; runoff election today
In today’s news briefing, read about today’s runoff elections, a settlement related to a fatal car crash, a new coffee shop and more.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Where the redistricting fight stands heading into the midterms
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Several primaries remain uncalled and Ukraine attacks Putin’s hometown: Morning Rundown
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer5 months ago
What we’re watching for in New Jersey’s primary elections
Opponents for Jeff Van Drew and Tom Kean Jr. will be decided, while 12 Democrats vie for a single seat in the 12th Congressional District.
CNCable News Network6 months ago
Democrats’ internal fights sway the race to succeed Nancy Pelosi in San Francisco
With just weeks to go in the first round of the race to replace Nancy Pelosi in her San Francisco-based district, an iconic center of liberalism is trying to figure out what comes next.
TAThe Associated Press3 months ago
New Tennessee congressional map put to the test in state primary
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
WEWashington Examiner3 months ago
Takeaways from Michigan, Missouri, and Kansas
The latest primary elections in the 2026 cycle — Michigan, Missouri, and Kansas — featured nationally-visible races and confirmed key trends.
AABC17News.com3 months ago
Michigan, Missouri primaries will again lay bare the Democratic divide over Israel
By Ronald Brownstein, CNN (CNN) — Fiercely fought primaries on August 4 in Michigan and Missouri will provide the next crucial tests in the debate over American policy toward Israel that has convulsed the Democratic Party this year. Arguments about Israel have marked a sharp dividing line in both the Michigan Senate primary between centrist
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
D. Norcross
D. Galdo
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
D. NorcrossDonald Norcross$1.66MContrib: $1.52M
$2.37MSpent: $999.6K
$55.5KLast period: $156.5K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
D. GaldoDamon Galdo$11.1KContrib: $11.0K
$5.1KSpent: $6.1K
$341Last period: $6.9K
TERMINATION REPORT · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NJ-01 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-01?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-01?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC