Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
NY-16 House winner?
$2.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $514.0K | |
| 3% | — |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$2.7K
24h volume
$322
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
New York 16th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: George Latimer (D)
Election Rules
Primary Jun 23, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The biggest NY-16 update is a Republican candidate’s lawsuit against Mount Vernon over a blocked GOP town hall. Separately, Democratic nominee Justin Wagner appeared at a 9/11 memorial event. Neither item provides new polling or results, so the market picture looks mostly unchanged. The news does not clearly shift the race and appears to have limited direct impact on odds. It may slightly affect campaign visibility, but there is no new evidence of a change in voter support.
Articles
BNBreitbart News Network3 months ago
*** Election Night Livewire *** Byron Donalds Eyes Governor's Mansion as Scandals Plague Races Across Country
Scandals abound as voters in Florida, Alaska, Wyoming, and California choose between felons, underwear models, and disgraced former congressmen.
WPWhite Plains Journal News13 days ago
What NY voters need to know for 2026 midterm elections
New York's upcoming 2026 elections for governor and state, federal and local offices are spelled out in the USA TODAY Network's voters' guide.
PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review29 days ago
Election HQ: Voter guide for 2026 Election Day in Western Pennsylvania
A lot is riding on this year’s midterm elections. Democrats and Republicans are fighting for control of the Senate and the House in both Washington and Harrisburg. Pennsylvania’s Democratic incumbent Gov. Josh Shapiro is seeking a second term in the state’s highest elected office. Standing in his way is Republican
NNewsweek9 days ago
Do You Live in the Rent Belt? Check Our New Midterms Index
According to Newsweek's new Rent Belt Index, rent swallows more of a typical paycheck than it does nationally in 182 House districts.
TNThe New Yorker10 days ago
The State Officials Defending the Midterms from the President
Donald Trump has tried to purge voter rolls nationwide. Deidre Henderson, the Republican lieutenant governor of Utah, is among the chief election officers standing in his way.
NYNew York Post2 months ago
Republican running for NY House seat sues Democrat-run city for blocking GOP 'town hall'
Joe Cinquemani, the GOP candidate for the 16th Congressional District, sued the city in federal court on first amendment grounds last week, causing city officials to backtrack on their earlier claims of a “scheduling conflict” that prevented him from hosting his event at the Doles Recreation Center.
ETErie Times-News2 months ago
Erie County residents, officials gather to honor 25-year mark of 9/11
2026 marks 25 years since the tragic events of Sept. 11. Erie County officials held a ceremony to commemorate the occasion.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer2 months ago
Why Democrats’ priorities shifted from abortion to affordability in Bucks County’s key midterm races
Democrats in Bucks County are fine-tuning their message ahead of must-win races in November. Reproductive rights had once been center stage in recent campaigns
RDRochester Democrat and Chronicle5 months ago
George Latimer and Mike Lawler should appear together
Reps. George Latimer and Mike Lawler were set to discuss foreign policy in front of 1300 constituents. Democrats' fear of optics took that away.
RDRochester Democrat and Chronicle3 months ago
Let's have a Lawler-Conley debate in NY-17
Rep. Mike Lawler has issued a six-debate challenge to his opponent, Cait Conley. When will the two meet to spar?
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$1M
$750K
$500K
$250K
$0
G. Latimer
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
G. LatimerGeorge S. Latimer$514.0KContrib: $503.7K
$100.7KSpent: $606.0K
$33.7KLast period: $23.6K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NY-16 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-16?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:13 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for NY-16?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:13 AM UTC