Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
NY-20 House winner?
$2.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | $957.6K | |
| 2% | $29.0K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$2.6K
24h volume
$369
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
New York 20th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Paul Tonko (D)
Election Rules
Primary Jun 23, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
There are no recent updates tied to New York’s 20th Congressional District in the provided news. The listed items focus on other states and other races, so they do not give a new signal for this market. No clear impact on NY-20 from these summaries. The market should be little changed unless new district-specific news emerges.
Articles
AAl-Monitor3 months ago
Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
PPOLITICO3 months ago
Troy Jackson, unlike Graham Platner, is staying laser-focused on Susan Collins
The Maine progressive former state senator is quickly trying to contrast himself with his GOP rival.
PNPBS News4 months ago
Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York, ousts 2 incumbents from Congress
Top allies of New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani have defeated establishment-backed Democrats in New York's congressional primary elections.
BBoston.com4 months ago
Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s slate swept establishment-backed Democrats in the state's congressional primaries on Tuesday.
FNFox News5 months ago
Democratic Socialist Janeese Lewis George wins D.C. mayoral primary
Democratic Socialist D.C. Council member Janeese Lewis George won the city's Democratic mayoral primary, positioning her to become the next mayor of the nation's capital.
FNFox News5 months ago
Democratic socialist Janeese Lewis George wins DC mayoral primary
Democratic Socialist D.C. Council member Janeese Lewis George won the city's Democratic mayoral primary, positioning her to become the next mayor of the nation's capital.
VCVentura County Star5 months ago
A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race
A quick guide to the candidates currently leading California’s governor race and how the final outcome could shift as counties continue to count votes.
TDThe Daily Beast5 months ago
Trump’s Big Election Boast Immediately Blows Up in His Face
The president touted his flawless record of endorsements, only for it to unravel hours later.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
TAThe Associated Press6 months ago
Texas Democrats try to stop candidate accused of antisemitic views
Democratic leaders are trying to prevent Maureen Galindo, a candidate who has repeatedly expressed antisemitic views, from winning their party’s nomination in next week’s Texas runoff, and they’ve accused Republicans of propping up her campaign.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$1M
$750K
$500K
$250K
$0
P. Tonko
R. Ambrosio
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
P. TonkoPaul D. Tonko$957.6KContrib: $955.3K
$404.3KSpent: $1.15M
$64.0KLast period: $132.1K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
RAR. AmbrosioRalph Ambrosio
$29.0KContrib: $29.0K
$8.1KSpent: $20.9K
$1.2KLast period: $4.6K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NY-20 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-20?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for NY-20?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC