Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
NY-26 House winner?
$1.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $2.31M | |
| 2% | — |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$1.6K
24h volume
$284
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
New York 26th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Timothy M. Kennedy (D)
Election Rules
Primary Jun 23, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Republicans are using a new midterm convention in Dallas to boost turnout, fundraising, and candidate support ahead of November. Separately, analysis suggests GOP redistricting could improve House prospects overall. Neither item gives district-specific evidence for New York’s 26th. The news is broadly favorable for Republicans overall, but it does not mention New York’s 26th district specifically. For this race, the impact is indirect and limited.
Articles
APAsbury Park Press2 days ago
NJ's 1838 midterm divided Congress. Will history repeat?
The Broad Seal War of 1838 was triggered by alleged fraud involving noncitizen voters in New Jersey. Could it happen again in 2026?
NNewsweek5 months ago
Trump’s Approval Rating Craters to All-Time Low With Millennials
Polling averages continue to show the president underwater, with approval in the high 30s and disapproval around 60 percent.
TNThe New Yorker10 days ago
The State Officials Defending the Midterms from the President
Donald Trump has tried to purge voter rolls nationwide. Deidre Henderson, the Republican lieutenant governor of Utah, is among the chief election officers standing in his way.
NNNBC News1 month ago
Live updates: Poll finds California wealth tax proposal just shy of majority support
Live updates and the latest news as a new poll finds California’s wealth tax proposal is shy of support from a majority of voters and Democrats eye Nebraska for a potential Senate pickup.
TDThe Dallas Morning News2 months ago
Opening day of 2026 Republican midterm convention
The Republican midterm convention in Dallas features Donald Trump, JD Vance and other GOP leaders as they rally ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
NNNBC News3 months ago
Live updates: Trump warns of ‘unprecedented’ economic warfare against Iran
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump warns of ‘unprecedented’ economic warfare against Iran
FNFox News3 months ago
Redistricting gives GOP a dozen House seats in key midterm forecast
Republican redistricting gains offset Democrats' generic ballot edge in the midterms, leaving the house majority hinging on a handful of toss-up races across competitive districts.
TNThe New Yorker6 months ago
Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
TNThe New Yorker13 days ago
How ICE Is Targeting the 2026 Midterms
In the run-up to the election, the Trump Administration is turning its immigration crackdown into a desperate hunt for voter fraud, Jonathan Blitzer reports.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
T. Kennedy
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
T. KennedyTimothy M. Kennedy$2.31MContrib: $2.29M
$1.21MSpent: $1.44M
$79.7KLast period: $266.9K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NY-26 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-26?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:31 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for NY-26?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:31 AM UTC