Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsFunds raised
100%$1.74M
3%—

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$5.8K

24h volume

$1.2K

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

New York 5th District · US House

Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context

Race Rating

Safe or unrated

Cook/270toWin 2026

Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated

Seat Dynamics

Incumbent defense

Incumbent: Gregory W. Meeks (D)

Election Rules

Primary Jun 23, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The latest summaries do not include any news about New York’s 5th congressional district. Most of the reported developments are in other states and other races. Based on this material, there is no new information to move this market. No clear market impact from the provided news. With no district-specific developments, the odds for this race appear unchanged based on these summaries.

Articles
AAl-Monitor3 months ago

Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel

By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.

PPOLITICO3 months ago

Troy Jackson, unlike Graham Platner, is staying laser-focused on Susan Collins

The Maine progressive former state senator is quickly trying to contrast himself with his GOP rival.

FForbes3 months ago

Troy Jackson Replaces Graham Platner As Maine’s Democratic Nominee

Platner suspended his Senate bid earlier this month after allegations of sexual assault and rape.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit5 months ago

South Carolina Republicans try to extend winning streak as Sen. Lindsey Graham seeks fifth term

South Carolina voters are narrowing down candidates in key races for governor and U.S. Senate.

VCVentura County Star5 months ago

A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race

A quick guide to the candidates currently leading California’s governor race and how the final outcome could shift as counties continue to count votes.

TDThe Daily Beast5 months ago

Trump’s Big Election Boast Immediately Blows Up in His Face

The president touted his flawless record of endorsements, only for it to unravel hours later.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

NNewsweek6 months ago

Thomas Massie’s Chances of Defeating Trump and the Billionaires

The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.

NNJ.com7 months ago

So is Mikie Sherrill running for president? | Mikie’s World

Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.

TNThe New York Times3 months ago

For Blakeman, Trump Could Make and Break His Bid to Lead New York

Bruce Blakeman, who is vying to become the state’s second Republican governor in the last 50 years, pushes President Trump’s agenda even as he avoids mentioning his name.

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$625K
$0
G. Meeks
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Gregory W. MeeksG. Meeks
$1.74MContrib: $1.51M
$2.01MSpent: $1.96M
$109.1KLast period: $167.8K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

NY-05 House winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Gregory Meeks

    Will Democratic win the House race for NY-05?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC

  • George Marsh

    Will Republican win the House race for NY-05?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC