$2.9K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
South Carolina is part of the broader mid-decade redistricting fight ahead of 2026. Recent reports say Republicans have the edge overall in these map battles, but the final impact is still unsettled. Legal challenges and unfinished map changes leave the SC-04 outlook uncertain. The news slightly favors Republicans if the redistricting changes hold, but the effect on SC-04 is still uncertain. Ongoing legal fights keep the market from moving too far.
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Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Thanks to Trump-initiated gerrymandering and two huge court decisions, Democrats need to overperform to flip the House in 2026.
Currently, Republicans have 217 seats in the House to Democrats’ 212. There’s one independent member. Five seats are vacant.
Multiple GOP-controlled states pushed to redraw congressional maps head of the midterm elections 2026 after a US Supreme Court redistricting ruling.
A partisan redistricting battle among states has accelerated ahead of the midterm elections. This comes after a U.S.
By Tierney Sneed, Fredreka Schouten, John Fritze, CNN (CNN) — A day after the Supreme Court further gutted the Voting Rights Act, Republican-led states are eying changes to boost the GOP’s gerrymandering effort at the expense of voters of color, while voting rights groups are trying to limit the impact of the ruling on this
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
