Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Utah House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsFunds raised
96%$2.54M
5%$60.2K

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$20.4K

24h volume

$466

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Utah 2nd District · US House

Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict context

Race Rating

Safe or unrated

Cook/270toWin 2026

Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated

Seat Dynamics

Incumbent defense

Incumbent: Celeste Maloy (R)

Election Rules

Primary Jun 23, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Utah 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest recent development is a broader redistricting shift that has given Republicans at least 10 additional right-leaning House seats ahead of 2026. Court rulings and a Supreme Court decision have helped cement that advantage, while Democratic efforts have had mixed results. The redistricting news likely improves Republican odds in House races overall, including this district, though the effect on Utah’s 2nd is indirect. It may slightly strengthen GOP sentiment and reduce uncertainty around the broader House map.

Articles
FCFort Collins Coloradoan24 hours ago

A final look at polls, prediction markets in Colorado

With just hours left for casting votes, here is a look at polling and prediction markets in Colorado.

NNPR3 days ago

How Gen Z Republican candidates hope to shape the future GOP : NPR

On the eve of what may prove to be a tough election for the GOP, young conservatives vying to be part of the first class of Gen Z Republicans in Congress want a role shaping the party's next chapter.

WWTOP2 months ago

head in South Carolina’s GOP Senate runoff

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — U.S. Sen. Darline Graham and U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman face South Carolina voters yet again Tuesday in a special Republican primary runoff to…

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News10 days ago

What to know about the candidates running for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District

Meet incumbent Rep. Celeste Maloy and Democratic challenger Kent Udell, who will face off on Nov. 3 for Utah's 3rd Congressional District seat.

FNFox News2 months ago

Trump's congressional redistricting push nets Republicans 10 seats

Donald Trump's redistricting push has netted Republicans at least 10 more right-leaning congressional seats as the GOP fights to hold its House majority ahead of midterm elections.

NNNBC News6 months ago

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer13 days ago

Vance defends Ramaswamy’s ad as backlash threatens Ohio campaign

Documents provided by the Acton campaign show that a grand jury indicted the candidate’s stepfather on charges of raping Acton when she was 12, that he pleaded not guilty and fled the state.

REReading Eagle13 days ago

Vance ‘disgusted’ by pushback to Ramaswamy ad with opponent's mother

A Vivek Ramaswamy ad against his Democratic opponent for Ohio governor, Dr. Amy Acton, shows Acton’s birth mother calling her “a liar.”

SLSalt Lake Tribune15 days ago

Utah's demographics are changing. Can Democrats win statewide?

Utah seems poised to send its first Democrat to Congress in six years. Democrats and others say the state is nearing a potential turning point — and that outcry over data centers could be a sign of how to build progressive power in this longtime GOP stronghold.

SLSalt Lake Tribune20 days ago

Moore, Crosby square off in debate for Utah's 2nd Congressional District

U.S. Rep. Blake Moore and Democratic challenger Peter Crosby faced off in the final congressional debate Tuesday night. Moore defended his record on issues ranging from data centers and preserving the Great Salt Lake to tariffs and solar power

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$5M
$3.8M
$2.5M
$1.3M
$0
B. Moore
P. Crosby
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Blake MooreB. Moore
$2.54MContrib: $2.42M
$1.89MSpent: $2.18M
$121.3KLast period: $171.0K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Peter CrosbyP. Crosby
$60.2KContrib: $60.2K
$23.3KSpent: $31.7K
$1.8KLast period: $20.4K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

UT-02 House winner?

No verified final result is available for this race.

  • Peter Crosby

    Will Democratic win the House race for UT-02?

    Settlement pending

  • Blake Moore

    Will Republican win the House race for UT-02?

    Settlement pending