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2028 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2028 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Market closes: Nov 7, 10:00am ET (Nov 7, 3:00pm UTC)

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

$14.8K

NOV 7, 2029

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated Sep 15, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds
Summer Lee	42%
Brendan Boyle	20%
Chris Deluzio	20%
Conor Lamb	15%
Chris Rabb	7%
Susan Wild	6%
John Fetterman	1%
Bob Casey Jr.	1%

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$14.8K

24h volume

S. Lee42%

B. Boyle20%

C. Deluzio20%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

WED 7

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Summer Lee is now at 45% and leads by 25.0 points after trailing earlier.

45%

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Summer Lee's odds reached 45%, topping the previous high of 40% in this Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee race.

45%5%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Fetterman’s GOP convention appearance has triggered fresh criticism from Pennsylvania Democrats and renewed talk of a 2028 primary challenge. The latest coverage also says his support among Democrats looks weak, keeping his nomination path uncertain. The news appears to weaken Fetterman’s standing with Democrats and raises the chance of a serious primary challenge. That likely adds uncertainty to his nomination outlook and may modestly improve alternatives.

Articles

NNNBC News3 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

SIStaten Island Advance4 months ago

Trump tightens grip on GOP with ‘disloyal’ Republican senator’s stunning defeat

“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer5 days ago

Constituents are ‘livid’ with Fetterman after Trump convention video, says Rep. Madeleine Dean

The Montgomery County Democrat said she was "gravely disappointed" by Fetterman's appearance in a video praising President Donald Trump.

NNorthjersey.Com15 days ago

What happens to Trump if GOP loses the midterms?

If Republicans lose Congress in 2026, Trump could face investigations, gridlock and renewed impeachment efforts. Here's why the stakes are so high.

MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 6 days ago

Fetterman praises McCormick via ‘stunning’ video at GOP midterm convention

Fetterman's appearance at the Republican event will surely anger Democrats already frustrated with him.

WEWashington Examiner20 days ago

By 2028, Fetterman can be a Democrat or a senator, but not both

John Fetterman can't win a Democratic primary in Pennsylvania anymore. If he wants to win in 2028, it would be as a Republican.

ESEUROPE SAYS27 days ago

A democratic socialist win and losses for Trump allies: takeaways from primaries in three key states

In a shocking upset, state representative Angie Nixon beat Alexander Vindman for the Democratic nomination in Florida’s US Senate race, becoming the first

CNCable News Network1 month ago

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.

NNorthjersey.Com1 month ago

Could Trump be impeached a third time if Democrats win the House?

Articles of impeachment have already been filed against Presiden Donald Trump. Here's what could happen if Democrats retake the House in 2026 midterms

NYNew York Magazine2 months ago

John Fetterman’s Party-Switch Calculus

John Fetterman’s party-switch calculus. The erratic Pennsylvania Democrat is flirting with a party flip. If the midterms produce a narrow Senate majority, he could have massive leverage.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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2028 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Latest Election News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Trump tightens grip on GOP with ‘disloyal’ Republican senator’s stunning defeat

Constituents are ‘livid’ with Fetterman after Trump convention video, says Rep. Madeleine Dean

What happens to Trump if GOP loses the midterms?

Fetterman praises McCormick via ‘stunning’ video at GOP midterm convention

By 2028, Fetterman can be a Democrat or a senator, but not both

A democratic socialist win and losses for Trump allies: takeaways from primaries in three key states

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

Could Trump be impeached a third time if Democrats win the House?

John Fetterman’s Party-Switch Calculus

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)

Latest Election News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Trump tightens grip on GOP with ‘disloyal’ Republican senator’s stunning defeat

Constituents are ‘livid’ with Fetterman after Trump convention video, says Rep. Madeleine Dean

What happens to Trump if GOP loses the midterms?

Fetterman praises McCormick via ‘stunning’ video at GOP midterm convention

By 2028, Fetterman can be a Democrat or a senator, but not both

A democratic socialist win and losses for Trump allies: takeaways from primaries in three key states

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

Could Trump be impeached a third time if Democrats win the House?

John Fetterman’s Party-Switch Calculus

Related Races

PA-17 House winner?

PA-12 House winner?

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

PA-07 House winner?