Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
PA-12 House winner?
$83.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.47M | |
| 2% | $40.1K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$83.2K
24h volume
$10.0K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Pennsylvania 12th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Summer L. Lee (D)
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Summer Lee secured the Democratic nomination in Pennsylvania’s 12th District and will face Republican James Hayes in the general election. She won the primary by a wide margin, while Hayes ran unopposed. A separate Pennsylvania special election win for Democrats in Butler County suggests turnout can matter in low-turnout races. Lee’s primary win removes Democratic uncertainty in the race. The Butler County special election may slightly boost confidence that turnout operations can matter, but it does not directly change the general-election matchup.
Articles
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer7 days ago
A mishandled murder case | Morning Newsletter
Today, we’re starting with a look at how a shoddy case let a man now accused of killing a cop slip away. And, we’ll hit the campaign trail in Bucks County.
CTChicago Tribune6 months ago
Pope Leo XIV: What to know about Chicago-born Robert Prevost
Robert Prevost, the Chicago-born missionary, was elected the first pope from the United States in the history of the Catholic Church on May 8, 2025.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer8 days ago
The Inquirer’s 2026 General Election Endorsement Guide
The Editorial Board vetted candidates in key races to help you decide.
PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review4 days ago
Western Pa. voters weigh in on what’s important to them ahead of midterm election
Nearly half of Pennsylvania’s registered voters think they’re worse off than they were a year ago and the state is headed in the wrong direction, according to a Franklin & Marshall College poll released this month. Voters aren’t optimistic the midterm election will change that, even though the election is
TGThe Gateway Pundit5 months ago
Democrats in New Jersey Give Primary Win to Candidate With Ties to Al-Qaeda
Democrats in New Jersey just handed a primary win to Adam Hamawy, a candidate with actual ties to the terrorist organization Al-Qaeda, which is credited with carrying out the attacks of 9/11.
TBThe Boston Globe6 months ago
What Graham Platner means for the Democratic Party
We asked our three writers: Is Platner just what the Democratic Party needs right now to take back the Senate? Or is he a disaster-in-waiting for the party?
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer6 months ago
DCCC endorses Bob Harvie and Bob Brooks ahead of competitive Pennsylvania primaries
The DCCC said it will help the candidates who are running to face Republican Reps. Brian Fitzpatrick and Ryan Mackenzie in competitive districts later this year.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer7 months ago
U.S. Reps. Madeleine Dean and Chrissy Houlahan have endorsed Ala Stanford for Congress
U.S. Reps. Madeleine Dean and Chrissy Houlahan, who represent parts of southeastern Pennsylvania in Congress, have joined Rep. Dwight Evans in endorsing Ala Stanford for the open Philadelphia seat.
CNCBS News1 day ago
Why some Texas Democrats are forecasting a "Hispanic hurricane" in midterms
Two years ago, President Trump made historic gains with Hispanic voters nationwide and won a majority of Texas Hispanics. Now, Democrats believe they could swing back.
SSFGATE18 days ago
Iran war votes in Congress become a focal point for campaign ad attacks
Democrats and aligned advocacy groups are hitting the airwaves with a flood of campaign ads on the Iran war as they seek to win back in the House and Senate. It’s the culmination of a strategy...
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
S. Lee
J. Hayes
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
S. LeeSummer Lee$1.47MContrib: $1.36M
$1.65MSpent: $828.6K
$46.0KLast period: $105.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
J. HayesJames Hayes$40.1KContrib: $40.1K
$9.5KSpent: $31.3K
$1.7KLast period: $13.0K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
PA-12 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-12?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for PA-12?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC